Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Jade Lions vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2748f5635b7e7d130a6014e4ed0c03a757cd645ce8ca87eef4f529eba38d5f98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharper Esportof Jade Lions, Sharper Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Jade Lions | 23c | 1,290$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.41 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Sharper Esport | 78c | 541$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.11 | 190 | 40%76 W · 114 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Sharper Esport | 77c | 500.1$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.02 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Jade Lions | 22c | 454.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…5294backed Sharper Esport | 75c | 268$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Sharper Esport | 78c | 193.1$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.37 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed Sharper Esport | 71c | 172.81$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Sharper Esport | 75c | 160.75$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…8a03backed Sharper Esport | 75c | 157.47$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Jade Lions | 27c | 149.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Sharper Esport | 79c | 129.19$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Jade Lions | 20c | 126.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Jade Lions | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Jade Lions | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Jade Lions | 14c | 91.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Sharper Esport | 78c | 76.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Sharper Esport | 76c | 74.84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817f…01f4backed Jade Lions | 21c | 68.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sharper Esport | 58c | 60.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Sharper Esport | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Jade Lions | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…a744backed Jade Lions | 29c | 54.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Jade Lions | 32c | 51.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Jade Lions | 25c | 49.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Sharper Esport | 76c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Sharper Esport | 76c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Sharper Esport | 68c | 43.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sharper Esport | 77c | 40.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Jade Lions | 37c | 39.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Jade Lions | 32c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Sharper Esport | 80c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Sharper Esport | 79c | 22.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Sharper Esport | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Sharper Esport | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x427a…4e18backed Sharper Esport | 63c | 17.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c9…234dbacked Sharper Esport | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Sharper Esport | 79c | 14.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.02 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Jade Lions vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: Jade Lions vs Sharper Esport - Map 1 WinnerSharper Esport won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.