NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbcce977885257f2545e41d2b4eb1b5e9ef0a0576a18d1ecdcbbf9d7b8d1e172
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Over | 31c | 2,637$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.01 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc83d…3301backed Under | 73c | 2,010$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 27c | 1,953$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.89 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 68c | 1,473$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.52 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 71c | 665.99$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.14 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Over | 29c | 610.34$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 70c | 500$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.03 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…c8f2backed Over | 30c | 478.15$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 29c | 449.38$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.32 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed Over | 30c | 338.34$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 14c | 299.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…bbaabacked Over | 29c | 265$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.85 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 236 | 65.7%155 W · 81 L | +15.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Over | 28c | 156$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2af…e3bcbacked Over | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 70c | 125$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 70c | 118$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 70c | 116.49$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 29c | 102$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Over | 29c | 89.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…5294backed Under | 72c | 62.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf96…8843backed Under | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 29c | 39.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b71…41e1backed Over | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 34c | 35.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fce…6476backed Under | 71c | 22.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…c407backed Under | 71c | 19.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Under | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…0436backed Under | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa44…752abacked Under | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5this page
- Ducks vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights won
- Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.