NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdfd5b573f8e23b3f0c8b5653abd648dcafb0eee3f8d7d206398927a5a8b3082
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9762…73fbbacked Over | 67c | 1,258$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.27 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Over | 33c | 1,084$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.44 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 46c | 976.25$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.18 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 64c | 810.48$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.71 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 38c | 748$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.76 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 63c | 685.03$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.57 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 65c | 617.08$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 45c | 593.8$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.77 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 576.76$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.16 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 64c | 503.99$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.55 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 37c | 500$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.04 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 37c | 481.22$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.17 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 41c | 416.07$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.83 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Over | 62c | 318.92$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.92 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 38c | 311.74$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.86 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 63c | 215.49$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.52 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 46c | 212.76$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.73 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Over | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Over | 63c | 180.95$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 63c | 158.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Under | 46c | 155.28$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.85 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Over | 66c | 150.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Under | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -7.6wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Under | 53c | 143.96$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Under | 48c | 124.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Under | 37c | 122.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.37 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 39c | 120$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 48c | 118.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.57 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 53c | 118.28$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.61 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under | 36c | 105.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.35 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 54c | 101.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 36c | 95.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 36c | 91.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.54 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 44c | 86.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 49c | 82.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 37c | 82.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 37c | 81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 35c | 75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…b1ccbacked Over | 68c | 73.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 37c | 70.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 67.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 55c | 64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Under | 34c | 58.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 46c | 52.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399c…6191backed Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 37c | 47.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…ad11backed Under | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aed…7896backed Over | 71c | 42.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 61c | 41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Under | 43c | 35.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 39c | 31.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c78…e701backed Over | 61c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29fb…4930backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…c542backed Over | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ca…a0c5backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5this page
- Ducks vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights won
- Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.