South American Leagues · resolved market
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd91ad1dd1092ee5a1009fbcc1d1d5913a88eb365bdbd6060c7134171162e563
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 5,776$3,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,026.86 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 43c | 4,651$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.03 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 75c | 932.91$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.31 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 27c | 885.49$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.9 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 3c | 416.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 54c | 288.32$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.85 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Over | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 34c | 212.63$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.85 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc43c…1310backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0988…f6f9backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 68c | 164.15$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 160.15$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.46 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 35c | 122.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 63c | 105.65$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 65c | 92.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 57c | 87.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Over | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 48 | 85.4%41 W · 7 L | +8.5wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…5294backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 32c | 70.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…45a7backed Under | 34c | 49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Over | 42c | 45.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 61c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 59c | 39.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 57c | 33.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…6cd6backed Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 60c | 27.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…3085backed Under | 41c | 26.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Over | 68c | 25.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e8…d7b7backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff1a…4475backed Over | 44c | 24.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 58c | 21.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Under | 60c | 19.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7d…9b6cbacked Over | 68c | 19.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Over | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 75c | 15.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 1.5this page
- Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 2.5Under won
- Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 3.5Under won
- Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Bolívar (-1.5)Deportivo La Guaira FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.