CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Crashers (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdab1beda829ba12da70e2b8464de2e3727c5a47d913a9c45d11b18d5c793a952
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNO MILLEof UNO MILLE, Crashers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3208…07a7backed Crashers | 23c | 1,575$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.72 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Crashers | 18c | 1,486$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.85 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2b…19a4backed Crashers | 8c | 677.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked UNO MILLE | 77c | 670.96$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.77 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Crashers | 23c | 495.46$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.96 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf530…50bfbacked UNO MILLE | 76c | 481.17$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked Crashers | 15c | 447.4$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Crashers | 22c | 438.05$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.69 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f4…f44ebacked Crashers | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a1…d734backed UNO MILLE | 80c | 370$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Crashers | 19c | 358.27$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Crashers | 22c | 354.35$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.92 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Crashers | 10c | 318.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Crashers | 22c | 299.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed UNO MILLE | 78c | 284.73$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…d4a7backed UNO MILLE | 78c | 276.3$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.59 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed UNO MILLE | 79c | 254.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…a0edbacked UNO MILLE | 78c | 230.6$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Crashers | 12c | 227.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…9a43backed Crashers | 26c | 214.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | +18.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Crashers | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…a513backed Crashers | 22c | 195.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Crashers | 21c | 181.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6154…0404backed UNO MILLE | 78c | 154$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Crashers | 27c | 133.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…27fbbacked Crashers | 14c | 130$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Crashers | 23c | 129.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Crashers | 10c | 125.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Crashers | 19c | 105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Crashers | 12c | 102.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Crashers | 22c | 99.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Crashers | 13c | 87.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Crashers | 21c | 85.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441a…f6b7backed UNO MILLE | 79c | 82$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked UNO MILLE | 74c | 69.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Crashers | 16c | 67.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Crashers | 24c | 57.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…3f58backed Crashers | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed UNO MILLE | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Crashers | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked UNO MILLE | 78c | 38.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed UNO MILLE | 77c | 35.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed UNO MILLE | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 123 | 68.3%84 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked UNO MILLE | 74c | 22.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…5294backed UNO MILLE | 78c | 13.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.