TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Pliskova vs Iga Swiatek

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Iga Swiatekof Karolina Pliskova, Iga Swiatek
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$152,594
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$183,322

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,594 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Karolina Pliskova10c27,861$2,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,836.278,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Karolina Pliskova7c17,115$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.6276146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Karolina Pliskova25c15,036$3,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,719.999545.3%43 W · 52 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Karolina Pliskova6c6,906$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.824,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Karolina Pliskova25c6,200$1,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.6845036%162 W · 288 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed Iga Swiatek75c6,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50021642.6%92 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Karolina Pliskova13c5,102$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.544,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d99…9675backed Karolina Pliskova18c2,583$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.515530.3%47 W · 108 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1861…408dbacked Iga Swiatek76c2,506$1,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.8644851.6%231 W · 217 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Karolina Pliskova6c2,206$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.523,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Karolina Pliskova18c1,708$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31041251%210 W · 202 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed Karolina Pliskova8c1,515$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12038911.6%45 W · 344 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Iga Swiatek77c1,261$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.272,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28e0…2e6bbacked Karolina Pliskova7c1,090$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6751744.7%231 W · 286 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Iga Swiatek75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Iga Swiatek75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25027132.1%87 W · 184 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Karolina Pliskova11c919.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.532,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Karolina Pliskova19c880$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.748941.1%201 W · 288 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Karolina Pliskova25c781.3$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.3314357.3%82 W · 61 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf87b…5294backed Iga Swiatek76c776.06$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.8850%4 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Karolina Pliskova7c631.53$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.391,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e1…97bcbacked Karolina Pliskova9c600$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54368.3%3 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-82.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Karolina Pliskova8c589.5$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.842,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Karolina Pliskova23c538.16$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.212,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Karolina Pliskova11c501.18$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.483,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9772…3c18backed Iga Swiatek76c499.97$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.994459.1%26 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6cd…f008backed Karolina Pliskova23c423.96$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.514129.3%12 W · 29 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Karolina Pliskova3c404.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.92,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Karolina Pliskova21c357$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.234,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Karolina Pliskova24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7266831.3%209 W · 459 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Iga Swiatek75c286.72$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6818256.6%103 W · 79 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Iga Swiatek75c283.03$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.767,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Karolina Pliskova23c264$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.722,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Iga Swiatek79c262.98$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.291,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd422…7e43backed Iga Swiatek76c261.52$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.522560%15 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Karolina Pliskova23c240$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.21,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Iga Swiatek76c236.84$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.842,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b35…51b3backed Iga Swiatek76c230.58$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3435360.9%215 W · 138 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Karolina Pliskova13c214.4$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.419,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Karolina Pliskova24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019152.4%100 W · 91 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56b2…2ce1backed Karolina Pliskova25c203.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.345129.4%15 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Karolina Pliskova20c179.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.662,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Karolina Pliskova24c174.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4212258.2%71 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x884a…2f2abacked Iga Swiatek77c173.62$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.932568%17 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Karolina Pliskova25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4091754%495 W · 422 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked Karolina Pliskova13c151.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7218430.4%56 W · 128 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Iga Swiatek75c135.31$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.733,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Karolina Pliskova24c129.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.22433.3%8 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7500…5112backed Iga Swiatek79c126.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.119861.2%60 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Karolina Pliskova14c111.43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.663144.1%278 W · 353 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Iga Swiatek76c110.01$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8283447.5%396 W · 438 L-2.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47f6…b051backed Karolina Pliskova24c102.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5341644.5%185 W · 231 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb4b…9f92backed Karolina Pliskova23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2325349%124 W · 129 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x018a…5e65backed Karolina Pliskova25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257749.4%38 W · 39 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-17.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Iga Swiatek77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2341272.8%300 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x626d…e570backed Karolina Pliskova24c95.85$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2352035.2%183 W · 337 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d2…39b0backed Iga Swiatek77c90.91$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.91425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick69cpaid-67.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc5b…2a5abacked Karolina Pliskova19c88$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7216955.6%94 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Iga Swiatek75c83.33$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8333650.9%171 W · 165 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcdf…8116backed Karolina Pliskova25c82$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.55044%22 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Karolina Pliskova24c80$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.248637.7%183 W · 303 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Iga Swiatek76c78.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9571165.1%463 W · 248 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Iga Swiatek76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7967852.1%353 W · 325 L-2.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Iga Swiatek76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7916467.7%111 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Iga Swiatek77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9424259.9%145 W · 97 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Iga Swiatek77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9471857.7%414 W · 304 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x353b…e535backed Iga Swiatek76c56.16$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.484763.8%30 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0c…b898backed Iga Swiatek78c53.43$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.777360.3%44 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Iga Swiatek76c52.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.697,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x989a…dbccbacked Iga Swiatek76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122572%18 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Karolina Pliskova23c49.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.557449.1%282 W · 292 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5430…fbbbbacked Karolina Pliskova25c42.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5415451.9%80 W · 74 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa802…4575backed Karolina Pliskova25c40.4$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109642.7%41 W · 55 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa983…7ab4backed Karolina Pliskova25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014545.5%66 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5707…14c0backed Iga Swiatek77c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.22161.9%13 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick73cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae85…c96abacked Karolina Pliskova25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1029352.2%153 W · 140 L-21.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8d5…1995backed Karolina Pliskova25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104447.7%21 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1623…340cbacked Karolina Pliskova25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Iga Swiatek75c33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.181,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa15e…8cacbacked Iga Swiatek76c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.221361.5%131 W · 82 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Iga Swiatek76c27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.482,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8951…dfcfbacked Iga Swiatek75c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.525858.1%150 W · 108 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x236e…338abacked Iga Swiatek78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.643259.4%19 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick71cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf18a…8b42backed Iga Swiatek78c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.41872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Iga Swiatek80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523581.7%192 W · 43 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick80cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10f4…3b7ebacked Iga Swiatek80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513044.6%58 W · 72 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2176…bc30backed Iga Swiatek78c23.59$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.183759.5%22 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24a4…cf87backed Iga Swiatek77c22.62$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.22441.7%10 W · 14 L-4.9wins-0.20per pick62cpaid-36.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Iga Swiatek76c21.73$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2231657%180 W · 136 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Iga Swiatek75c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2574547.4%353 W · 392 L-28.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Iga Swiatek75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593557.3%536 W · 399 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ec7…93d1backed Iga Swiatek76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.810678.3%83 W · 23 L+11.4wins+0.11per pick68cpaid+15.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0449…2c0dbacked Iga Swiatek77c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe3…1f2abacked Iga Swiatek80c18.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7512162%75 W · 46 L-14.3wins-0.12per pick74cpaid-13.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3a0b…d29dbacked Iga Swiatek76c13.34$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.28354.2%45 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.