MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef251d6e12398dee1e9eb0a266c0b4892906c4a173cbc3b145dad45c5c018484
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Detroit Tigers | 63c | 1,802$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.85 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Detroit Tigers | 62c | 1,531$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.97 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 1,300$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 1,100$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 77c | 700.58$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.75 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 635$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.48 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 612.09$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.87 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2513…91fbbacked Atlanta Braves | 36c | 560.92$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.22 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Atlanta Braves | 37c | 538.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.45 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 494.74$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.74 | 493 | 58.8%290 W · 203 L | +30.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 458.23$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.18 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6672…9ea3backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.74 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Detroit Tigers | 28c | 392.16$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.57 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Detroit Tigers | 63c | 368.13$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.18 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Atlanta Braves | 36c | 361.11$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.11 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 273.97$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.6 | 848 | 40.2%341 W · 507 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Atlanta Braves | 35c | 233.17$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.37 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 205.9$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.55 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Detroit Tigers | 16c | 184.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked Detroit Tigers | 64c | 156.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Atlanta Braves | 32c | 132.16$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.87 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Detroit Tigers | 62c | 126.12$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Detroit Tigers | 33c | 124$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Atlanta Braves | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x695b…36c8backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c20…42a1backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 94.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…5294backed Detroit Tigers | 65c | 90.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Detroit Tigers | 24c | 82.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 62.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 50.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 483 | 43.3%209 W · 274 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Detroit Tigers | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Atlanta Braves | 65c | 47.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Atlanta Braves | 58c | 45.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Atlanta Braves | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Atlanta Braves | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Detroit Tigers | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 549 | 51.2%281 W · 268 L | +29.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Atlanta Braves | 67c | 33.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7198…4213backed Detroit Tigers | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.