Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Walton vs McCabe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf07a9678aecbcf50f3cd95b957e89c224c44e58a7240d70dca1124365f10aee5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Waltonof Walton, McCabe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a67…d370backed McCabe | 77c | 3,731$2,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,866.5 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…39c0backed Walton | 4c | 1,690$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +846.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Walton | 26c | 900$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662 | 174 | 36.8%64 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Walton | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…556bbacked Walton | 5c | 260$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.2 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +209.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Walton | 63c | 208$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.96 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…6e47backed Walton | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Walton | 67c | 148.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Walton | 65c | 130.26$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Walton | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Walton | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Walton | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 681 | 57.6%392 W · 289 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Walton | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 205 | 65.4%134 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Walton | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Walton | 66c | 62.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed McCabe | 28c | 45.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504b…b939backed McCabe | 24c | 45.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Walton | 72c | 40.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Walton | 37c | 39.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Walton | 63c | 22.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Walton vs McCabethis page
- Adam Walton vs. James McCabe: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Wuxi: Adam Walton vs James McCabeAdam Walton won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.