Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24ad69c7c39fc77eca985ee76c5c992af732bbc55d1f36dc8c5e791faea1b5bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Laura Pigossiof Laura Pigossi, Lucia Cortez Llorca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $304,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $338,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lucia Cortez Llorca | 3c | 96,407$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,477.96 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lucia Cortez Llorca | 2c | 22,884$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.01 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…d370backed Lucia Cortez Llorca | 48c | 16,450$7,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,840 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lucia Cortez Llorca | 8c | 15,907$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.16 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Lucia Cortez Llorca | 3c | 8,369$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.49 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Laura Pigossi | 67c | 6,325$4,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.16 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Lucia Cortez Llorca | 2c | 5,482$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.84 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Lucia Cortez Llorca | 8c | 4,696$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.21 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Lucia Cortez Llorca | 15c | 4,629$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.46 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Lucia Cortez Llorca | 11c | 4,440$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.39 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Lucia Cortez Llorca | 31c | 1,170$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.94 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Laura Pigossi | 77c | 958.59$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.38 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Lucia Cortez Llorca | 33c | 938.56$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.94 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Laura Pigossi | 80c | 934.98$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.47 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08f9…c741backed Lucia Cortez Llorca | 10c | 827.73$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.61 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Lucia Cortez Llorca | 19c | 527$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Lucia Cortez Llorca | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lucia Cortez Llorca | 14c | 381.2$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…38c2backed Laura Pigossi | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 160 | 63.8%102 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Lucia Cortez Llorca | 47c | 375.48$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 434 | 49.1%213 W · 221 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…3085backed Lucia Cortez Llorca | 5c | 214.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Laura Pigossi | 64c | 179.13$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Lucia Cortez Llorca | 15c | 162.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Lucia Cortez Llorca | 34c | 159.76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Lucia Cortez Llorca | 13c | 154.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…4fd9backed Laura Pigossi | 54c | 129.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Lucia Cortez Llorca | 29c | 117.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf516…4c5abacked Lucia Cortez Llorca | 47c | 117.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Lucia Cortez Llorca | 12c | 116.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lucia Cortez Llorca | 24c | 108.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb594…c1a0backed Laura Pigossi | 63c | 102.88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 77 | 68.8%53 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Lucia Cortez Llorca | 37c | 102.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 278 | 46%128 W · 150 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Laura Pigossi | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 295 | 19.7%58 W · 237 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…7dffbacked Lucia Cortez Llorca | 17c | 97.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 144 | 15.3%22 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Lucia Cortez Llorca | 12c | 94.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Laura Pigossi | 61c | 93.94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lucia Cortez Llorca | 17c | 82.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Laura Pigossi | 65c | 79.95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9d…8929backed Lucia Cortez Llorca | 20c | 76.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b0…eb65backed Lucia Cortez Llorca | 28c | 72.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe031…5c08backed Lucia Cortez Llorca | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 735 | 49.8%366 W · 369 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Lucia Cortez Llorca | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Lucia Cortez Llorca | 20c | 62.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Laura Pigossi | 80c | 58.41$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Lucia Cortez Llorca | 25c | 56.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Lucia Cortez Llorca | 37c | 56.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…36a3backed Laura Pigossi | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 547 | 44.4%243 W · 304 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Lucia Cortez Llorca | 35c | 51.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Laura Pigossi | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 882 | 73.5%648 W · 234 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Lucia Cortez Llorca | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Laura Pigossi | 41c | 47.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Laura Pigossi | 80c | 46.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Laura Pigossi | 71c | 44.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Lucia Cortez Llorca | 35c | 42.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Laura Pigossi | 67c | 36.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Laura Pigossi | 59c | 36.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Lucia Cortez Llorca | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Laura Pigossi | 55c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 306 | 72.9%223 W · 83 L | +27.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Laura Pigossi | 61c | 25.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Lucia Cortez Llorca | 39c | 25.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Laura Pigossi | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8b…bf75backed Lucia Cortez Llorca | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…513dbacked Laura Pigossi | 65c | 21.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Lucia Cortez Llorca | 53c | 20.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 315 | 63.5%200 W · 115 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Laura Pigossi | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Laura Pigossi | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorcathis page
- Pigossi vs. Llorca: Match O/U 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.