MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45e70758d89361e3596e4c73873af9b6728e2361ffff057160fb439f07d7db5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Pittsburgh Pirates, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,028,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,173,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,028,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 81,404$43,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,260 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 67,925$36,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,245.48 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 19c | 66,377$12,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,525.05 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 42,248$17,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,537.25 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 34,498$12,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,515.67 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 77c | 29,234$22,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,683.46 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 22,995$10,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,807.46 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 14,891$6,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 11,775$5,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,485.55 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 19c | 11,540$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.96 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 7,356$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.98 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4f…0591backed Cincinnati Reds | 14c | 7,143$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 24cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 6,200$3,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,852 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 5,660$3,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.77 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 4,717$2,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.81 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 4,371$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.5 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 4,245$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.88 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 3,600$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 3,461$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.28 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 79c | 3,100$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.87 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d2…8850backed Cincinnati Reds | 8c | 2,862$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.81 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 77c | 2,581$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.43 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Cincinnati Reds | 13c | 2,242$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.48 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 2,148$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.69 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.16 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Cincinnati Reds | 22c | 2,011$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.42 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Cincinnati Reds | 21c | 1,940$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.95 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 1,782$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.4 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 1,717$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.99 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 80c | 1,643$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.66 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc279…6465backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 1,356$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.36 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 1,271$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.48 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,207$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.29 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 1,132$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.04 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60bd…2469backed Cincinnati Reds | 2c | 1,124$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 1,116$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.43 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cincinnati Reds | 3c | 1,092$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cincinnati Reds | 14c | 1,053$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.39 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 1,050$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 1,026$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 1,024$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.28 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 13c | 929.08$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.78 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Cincinnati Reds | 14c | 926.86$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.76 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 77c | 860.91$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.52 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 849$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.54 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 789.78$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.82 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 782.04$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.33 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 780$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.92 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 778.92$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.4 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 737.14$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.44 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8707…8b15backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 702.13$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 68c | 651.87$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.58 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x718f…f25abacked Cincinnati Reds | 13c | 646.15$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 624$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.28 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 615.85$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Cincinnati Reds | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Cincinnati Reds | 12c | 599.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 597$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.59 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 571$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.37 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 531$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.57 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…1a35backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 526.3$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.1 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Cincinnati Reds | 20c | 502.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eca…cfccbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 489.58$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 20c | 483$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Cincinnati Reds | 20c | 442.38$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.08 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 441$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.95 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 426$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 420.96$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.79 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 417.39$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.13 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 399.98$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.14 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 392.38$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.38 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab61…fb2bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa360…cc8ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Cincinnati Reds | 20c | 321.89$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.69 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 307.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 304.75$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.23 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 299.94$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.97 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 282.3$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.73 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 8c | 271.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 252.66$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Cincinnati Reds | 19c | 249.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cincinnati Reds | 18c | 246.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…62a0backed Cincinnati Reds | 8c | 240.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabe3…c19abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 219.23$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.42 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 217.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…a4a4backed Cincinnati Reds | 13c | 206.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Cincinnati Reds | 22c | 203.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fe…b0a4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 199.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.