MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a5133f8fdce300a29a7f915e1fa497df643d1f925f7628908367c8410fb3756
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Texas Rangers, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $441,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $446,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $441,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 122,222$66,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,999.88 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…34a5backed Houston Astros | 59c | 43,494$25,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,019.81 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Houston Astros | 46c | 31,693$14,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,114.47 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 25,000$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,499.96 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Houston Astros | 47c | 22,925$10,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,150.22 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 46c | 21,916$10,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,834.45 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Texas Rangers | 37c | 19,022$7,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,025.92 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Houston Astros | 46c | 18,952$8,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,233.92 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Houston Astros | 46c | 18,888$8,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199.52 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 18,576$8,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,119.65 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Houston Astros | 52c | 17,127$8,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,278.56 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Texas Rangers | 27c | 15,000$3,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,997.45 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 47c | 14,891$6,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,892.49 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 46c | 13,500$6,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,290 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.98 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 67c | 8,089$5,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.69 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Houston Astros | 55c | 6,364$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,863.73 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e0…9970backed Houston Astros | 64c | 5,358$3,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.01 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Texas Rangers | 15c | 4,758$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.72 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas Rangers | 16c | 3,676$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.07 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Texas Rangers | 29c | 3,536$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 3,300$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Texas Rangers | 26c | 3,225$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.66 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Texas Rangers | 34c | 2,555$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.95 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9c…91e9backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 2,220$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…23c9backed Houston Astros | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Texas Rangers | 27c | 1,930$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.32 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Texas Rangers | 23c | 1,914$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.22 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers | 39c | 1,617$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.49 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Texas Rangers | 35c | 1,600$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.79 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 1,597$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.52 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…b30dbacked Texas Rangers | 19c | 1,420$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.16 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Texas Rangers | 15c | 1,341$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.14 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Texas Rangers | 28c | 1,264$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.91 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Texas Rangers | 40c | 1,223$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.02 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 1,207$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.69 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.93 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Houston Astros | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.98 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Texas Rangers | 28c | 1,084$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.57 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 1,003$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.62 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Texas Rangers | 7c | 1,000$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.09 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…4ef3backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 925.79$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.12 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 918.47$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.96 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…45f6backed Houston Astros | 73c | 894.23$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.05 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Houston Astros | 48c | 851.06$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.55 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Houston Astros | 48c | 851.06$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.55 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Houston Astros | 48c | 851.03$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.54 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 780$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.25 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Houston Astros | 70c | 774$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.43 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Houston Astros | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Houston Astros | 46c | 685.53$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.19 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Houston Astros | 46c | 634$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.76 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Houston Astros | 54c | 629.37$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.51 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Houston Astros | 46c | 627$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.58 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Houston Astros | 48c | 619.97$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.71 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Texas Rangers | 16c | 607.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Houston Astros | 51c | 551$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.19 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Texas Rangers | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Houston Astros | 45c | 484.44$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.44 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Houston Astros | 47c | 458.33$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.91 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Texas Rangers | 21c | 453.71$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.28 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Houston Astros | 53c | 451.52$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.51 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Houston Astros | 50c | 435.26$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.14 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Texas Rangers | 30c | 356$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.22 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Texas Rangers | 30c | 352.08$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.07 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Houston Astros | 71c | 348.52$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.66 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Houston Astros | 47c | 345.98$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.37 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Texas Rangers | 38c | 343.81$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.65 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 343.75$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.88 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ad…b33bbacked Texas Rangers | 42c | 339.07$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.41 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +18.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 333.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.33 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Texas Rangers | 21c | 319.92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed Texas Rangers | 37c | 316.61$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.42 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Texas Rangers | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 299.98$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Houston Astros | 60c | 290.51$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.37 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219c…7da9backed Texas Rangers | 39c | 279.59$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 277.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.96 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Houston Astros | 77c | 255$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.74 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Houston Astros | 47c | 252.66$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.66 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 240.74$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Texas Rangers | 42c | 228.38$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e3…14c3backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…f595backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 225.69$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Houston Astros | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Houston Astros | 58c | 219$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.97 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Houston Astros | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9278…9a1bbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Texas Rangers | 15c | 211.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Texas Rangers | 28c | 208.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.83 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Houston Astros | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Houston Astros | 52c | 195.67$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.62 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Texas Rangers | 16c | 185.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 180.22$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.52 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 11.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Houston AstrosNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.