Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Mir Gaming vs Dplus (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70a27f041017f2d2cd626856555da3bca2b7b2ef958019539d6e59e4b1f4b692
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dplusof Mir Gaming, Dplus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,716 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Mir Gaming | 22c | 1,200$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.79 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Dplus | 78c | 1,082$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.46 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Dplus | 80c | 1,002$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Dplus | 78c | 371.01$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.62 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Mir Gaming | 22c | 265.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Dplus | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Dplus | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Mir Gaming | 21c | 197.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…41c3backed Mir Gaming | 21c | 191.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mir Gaming | 21c | 156.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Mir Gaming | 21c | 154.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed Mir Gaming | 22c | 152.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb9…cb5dbacked Dplus | 79c | 140.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Mir Gaming | 22c | 130.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Mir Gaming | 21c | 115.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed Dplus | 79c | 112.53$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…a0dcbacked Dplus | 78c | 106.38$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Mir Gaming | 38c | 102.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e14…4e1fbacked Mir Gaming | 23c | 100.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Mir Gaming | 21c | 93.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa8…fd1bbacked Dplus | 79c | 88.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Mir Gaming | 22c | 83.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Dplus | 79c | 83.47$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Mir Gaming | 22c | 81.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -9.0wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Mir Gaming | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Mir Gaming | 22c | 79.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed Mir Gaming | 21c | 59.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Mir Gaming | 22c | 56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Mir Gaming | 21c | 55.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Dplus | 51c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Mir Gaming | 21c | 50.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Dplus | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…64f0backed Mir Gaming | 22c | 49.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Dplus | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…b0debacked Dplus | 60c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Dplus | 73c | 21.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Dplus | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb04f…5822backed Dplus | 79c | 17.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Mir Gaming vs Dplus (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Seasonthis page
- Valorant: Mir Gaming vs Dplus - Map 1 WinnerDplus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.