TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will FC Dallas win on 2026-03-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,226

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,226 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes40c6,686$2,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0071,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No60c5,551$3,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,322.7897146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes48c3,319$1,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.6247748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No44c2,807$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.023,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes14c2,470$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,125.783043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes42c2,051$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.8229370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No59c1,932$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.8812451.6%64 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes41c1,485$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.5825149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No58c1,016$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.254035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No5c801.13$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2841339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes41c798.01$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.9215144.4%67 W · 84 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Yes31c758.62$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.32955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No73c627$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.2520641.3%85 W · 121 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No40c536.64$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.281,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Yes28c535.71$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.714860.4%29 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No61c526.06$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.7577751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2953655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Yes40c480$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No60c413.92$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.3513347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No47c396.8$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.1545140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3de7…9ca7backed Yes44c363.64$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.64742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes47c356.84$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.2496756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No54c303.66$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.7592346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No79c295.06$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.0626346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No58c258.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed No61c245.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes42c244$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.524932.7%16 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Yes45c242$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.492850%14 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x974e…8703backed No40c241.41$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.541643.8%7 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No71c220.74$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.327044.3%31 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No60c204$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.1972850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Yes40c204$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.44445.5%20 W · 24 L+5.7wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+36.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No55c202.6$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3254949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes52c190.76$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.4739567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes48c190.58$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.658241.5%34 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No59c189.77$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.968653.5%46 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc8…47d0backed Yes69c188.14$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.94875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No61c165.28$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.824254.8%23 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No61c162.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5310249%50 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No9c162.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7528721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes26c150$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.817564%48 W · 27 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No59c140$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.65046%23 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.891643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes15c132.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.655626.8%15 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick29cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Yes39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.212240.9%9 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No26c128.09$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.11,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed No78c126.36$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995961%36 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No59c125$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7513557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc62e…108dbacked No61c122.95$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe52e…ac6dbacked No33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Yes41c113.98$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.652842.9%12 W · 16 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-31.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked No60c111.35$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.353243.8%14 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5fae…688abacked Yes14c108.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+263.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked No67c104.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.11944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595149%25 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Yes28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed No61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+51.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Yes43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed No69c94.09$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654247.6%20 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0484…4830backed Yes43c80.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.962161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No73c78.79$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5287154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0870…1e49backed No19c68.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked No60c68.05$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.942045%9 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Yes42c67$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.861643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes42c64.31$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2518967.2%127 W · 62 L+21.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No60c64$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.537649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes49c60.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.836154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Yes59c60.3$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.433240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3468…754fbacked No49c56.74$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa209…d90ebacked Yes75c56.32$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.81866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.51050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d3…8a20backed Yes65c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.642161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Yes42c49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x030d…8e95backed Yes78c48.73$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.722857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked No64c42.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5112571.2%89 W · 36 L+19.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+35.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x1342…7ddebacked Yes31c41.94$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.94450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+99.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes27c41.13$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0737138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8390…3773backed Yes69c36.22$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.23988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.34per pick55cpaid+61.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No60c33.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.887150.7%36 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1b7…fefdbacked Yes63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.751258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick69cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a2c…64f0backed Yes44c30.1$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.861241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Yes48c29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.12661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+38.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No38c28.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.613950.4%70 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No62c28.06$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3937249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa991…f266backed Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.220249%99 W · 103 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5a…724cbacked No61c19.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.