Mls · resolved market
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a1aa895676b7031277e0558a69ed5fe5e1f7093ca91a07121647117bd17058f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,698 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 67c | 12,049$8,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,977.07 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 33c | 4,229$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.65 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Yes | 34c | 2,949$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 31c | 2,404$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.25 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 33c | 2,272$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.76 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.99 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 33c | 1,768$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.63 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 1,154$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.48 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Yes | 64c | 1,016$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 72c | 1,001$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.98 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4a39…a189backed No | 66c | 970.17$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.86 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 32c | 780.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.92 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 67c | 710.68$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.76 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 68c | 699$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.68 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 78c | 620.36$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.23 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…77d6backed No | 74c | 534$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 34c | 449$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.12 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 54c | 427.92$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.63 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974e…8703backed No | 49c | 384.95$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.59 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 32c | 352.23$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.36 | 206 | 41.3%85 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed No | 69c | 346.03$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 33c | 334$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.22 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 64c | 301.5$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.03 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 289.83$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 28c | 287.86$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.66 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 24c | 249.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 62c | 244.96$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.67 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 55c | 240.42$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.75 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 29c | 234.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.17 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 72c | 218.7$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.03 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 31c | 211.38$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.46 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 33c | 176.61$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 68c | 176.47$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 70c | 164.62$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 31c | 164.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 34c | 163$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 66c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 71c | 153.72$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked No | 67c | 151$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed No | 65c | 150.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed No | 67c | 149$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 33c | 146.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…e41ebacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 128.22$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 66c | 125$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Yes | 27c | 114$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…4795backed Yes | 15c | 112.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 71c | 112$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 33c | 107$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75b…b4f5backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 47c | 96.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 38c | 90.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked No | 77c | 89.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…a166backed Yes | 64c | 86.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +66%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 33c | 76.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…2aa6backed No | 50c | 75.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed No | 67c | 62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed No | 72c | 56.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…7783backed No | 35c | 44.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 46c | 42.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…3db9backed Yes | 30c | 42.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 65c | 39.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 45c | 38.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 64c | 34.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked No | 67c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 33c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe2…0d54backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 56c | 31.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 69c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 68c | 27.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed No | 74c | 23.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed No | 68c | 21.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 70c | 20.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will FC Dallas vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Dallas win on 2026-03-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.