TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-03-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,260

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,260 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes44c5,963$2,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,339.124035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No58c4,534$2,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,637.2723643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No56c4,373$2,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,463.591,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb22…6478backed Yes43c2,887$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,645.8415647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No53c2,453$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.915251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Yes42c2,289$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.841353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No39c1,948$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.697044.3%31 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes63c1,779$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.336939.1%27 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes77c1,645$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.1147748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No56c1,582$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.9813053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed No55c1,270$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.481729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-41.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes55c804.28$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.5477751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd64b…873cbacked No56c798.21$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…aa15backed No56c755.36$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes42c698.37$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.1297146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes51c660.52$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.6519073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No56c635.74$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.0142947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No24c578.27$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.4523548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3de7…9ca7backed Yes46c536.96$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.96742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No51c525.02$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.273,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No40c503.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Yes43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No57c489.87$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.586841.2%28 W · 40 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes45c439.61$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.6110853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No53c372.2$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.0270249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e3…47acbacked No57c371.34$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes42c356.43$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.7315341.2%63 W · 90 L-14.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No8c330$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.431834.9%111 W · 207 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No58c310.67$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.0525149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No17c303.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3292346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No56c250$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14020648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No56c250$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1409151.6%47 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No53c250$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.54961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes43c247.25$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.9313942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes46c236$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.444932.7%16 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b41…764cbacked Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.77540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No56c202.64$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.486555.4%36 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Yes77c202.58$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No54c200.62$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3672850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1063354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Yes45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1103053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+6.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No58c199.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1164967.3%33 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No56c196$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.761668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes64c189.37$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4248344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked No56c182$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.921643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked No56c182$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.92520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No53c175$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.755651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No20c171.34$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9210249%50 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a21…652fbacked Yes45c169$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick55cpaid+89.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No53c160$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.85556.4%31 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed No56c159.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes73c144.72$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6621545.1%97 W · 118 L-20.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0ef…fee6backed Yes42c131$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05c7…5dc7backed Yes42c127$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+135.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No53c125$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2513557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed No56c121.82$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.963148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.65154.9%28 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc67f…dac8backed Yes45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.15450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes61c116.57$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4639567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x35ac…0c64backed No10c103.37$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.371435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5310754.2%58 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Yes44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked No55c99.97$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.982360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88a0…f673backed No56c94$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.641346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed No56c94$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.641369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd5…11bbbacked No56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Yes43c88$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.382661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+38.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7d9…bad0backed No57c84.61$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe29b…da59backed Yes46c78.93$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.62580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+85.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No32c77.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.011,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No55c74.8$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.149740.2%39 W · 58 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes45c73.45$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.398251.2%42 W · 40 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+41.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No52c71.86$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.437249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked No52c67.21$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.933243.8%14 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x898c…5568backed No56c66$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes46c63.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0416744.3%74 W · 93 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4536…c33fbacked No56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes43c59.79$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.081258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c46…0fe7backed No58c55$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed No53c55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.155354.7%29 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaee…e27abacked No58c54$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a3…bce8backed Yes43c53$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.21616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-61.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Yes57c52.3$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2812571.2%89 W · 36 L+19.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+35.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.54755.3%26 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed No53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.53966.7%26 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed No56c49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.489652.1%50 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No58c45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.18552.9%45 W · 40 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a61…64fcbacked No56c43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0484…4830backed Yes45c41.53$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.842161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed No56c41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.961450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a96…b382backed No56c41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.961163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68af…d6eabacked No58c41$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked No54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.62842.9%12 W · 16 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-31.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked No55c38.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.312045%9 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80c7…d9c5backed No54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No40c35.46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1137138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No37c33.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2120535.1%72 W · 133 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bce…75cabacked Yes47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a2c…64f0backed Yes42c31.44$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.241241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.