TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-03-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,542

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,542 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked No73c22,696$16,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,220.1513053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes15c9,993$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.263351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes27c7,368$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,010.123,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c4,992$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.4697146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No72c3,286$2,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.931668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes18c2,838$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.2147748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes27c2,658$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.771,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Yes28c2,286$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes27c1,665$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.4412451.6%64 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes22c1,434$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.0441339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes16c1,227$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.826841.2%28 W · 40 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes27c986.31$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.523643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes27c961.88$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.3437138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No74c933$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.584252.4%22 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed No72c925.26$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.612065%13 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8fc…04aabacked Yes28c880$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-42.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Yes28c767.94$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.83053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+6.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb1f3…e4a1backed No74c668$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbc…8a18backed No74c535$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.14100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked No73c520$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.41675%12 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e56…8243backed Yes28c492$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes23c487.53$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.481,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Yes28c477$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.561060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes27c417.96$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.8513942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes15c401.97$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes27c301.69$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8224326.3%64 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No72c292.3$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2625149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked No73c291$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No72c261.32$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.172360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No73c250$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.555750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Yes26c243.43$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.553243.8%14 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Yes26c233.18$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.052045%9 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Yes11c227$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.894247.6%20 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaed…d403backed No73c217.71$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5215341.2%63 W · 90 L-14.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No76c200$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.524967.3%33 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No76c199.98$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.995156.9%29 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No73c180$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.624351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…d370backed Yes27c176.19$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Yes28c176$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa89e…431dbacked Yes29c161.36$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x902f…fb2dbacked No72c139.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked No73c138$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.26683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+37.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce3a…2477backed No74c136$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.36771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes27c128.01$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.967150.7%36 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cdc…d742backed Yes29c123$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c25…02ddbacked Yes29c120$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc67f…dac8backed Yes27c120$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.55450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed No73c119$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.131369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf57b…778fbacked Yes29c116$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes27c112.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9772850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x797e…fc29backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No73c109$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.356256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes25c108.68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.17728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes17c105.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8910249%50 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes18c104$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.552166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Yes28c103$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.842360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88a0…f673backed Yes28c103$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.841346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes11c100.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1192346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0358…7cddbacked Yes29c97$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed No77c94$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.62560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes27c93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.111,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Yes28c83$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.241353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes28c81.96$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2342947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed No74c79.67$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.761090%9 W · 1 L+3.8wins+0.38per pick52cpaid+79.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed No73c75$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.53148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd38…93b1backed Yes27c73.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes27c71.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2210648.1%51 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No77c70.35$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.529370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes25c70.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.348251.2%42 W · 40 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+41.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes21c67.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.28241.5%34 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7133…69d6backed No73c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed No74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.66256.5%35 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes23c59$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6820641.3%85 W · 121 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdab6…60a9backed No72c56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Yes27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152737%10 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No71c53$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.378552.9%45 W · 40 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked No73c52$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.04757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3961…2c6cbacked No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x983a…0955backed No72c49$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…6807backed No73c49$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.23450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ebe…4a6abacked No72c44$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No73c41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.074362.8%27 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0654…f5a9backed Yes28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7bd…921abacked No72c36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18b6…988dbacked No77c35.06$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.06771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick75cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc187…7ac1backed No73c32$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0beb…078abacked No72c31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7d9…bad0backed No72c30.34$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.381346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4985…fa89backed No72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed No73c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.832751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed No73c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.291485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+51.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2229…00b0backed No72c26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86d0…904ebacked No75c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde93…3784backed No72c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked No76c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.042669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57d8…1cb0backed No72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked No75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512571.2%89 W · 36 L+19.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+35.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.