Mls · resolved market
Will Charlotte FC vs. New York Red Bulls end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1880c0775f43f4ee31e72622239c6a91b4423d1e514aa2f4f3db4de805a0a17e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,255 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 73c | 28,893$21,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800.98 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 10,006$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,702.8 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 9,834$2,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,586.89 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 27c | 2,927$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.39 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 2,670$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.02 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Yes | 27c | 2,285$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Yes | 27c | 2,019$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.13 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 27c | 1,846$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.42 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 22c | 1,250$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.44 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fc…04aabacked Yes | 27c | 879.63$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 26c | 871.71$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.53 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 78c | 666.36$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.6 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 80c | 500$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.35 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 18c | 414.77$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 73c | 408.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.18 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Yes | 27c | 384$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…d788backed Yes | 30c | 379.44$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 370.05$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.01 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…759fbacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 21c | 279.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 27c | 249.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 20c | 180.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 27c | 178.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Yes | 28c | 163.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eca…969abacked Yes | 22c | 160.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 27c | 143$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked No | 76c | 130$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed No | 78c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 26c | 111.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Yes | 27c | 106.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 26c | 105.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Yes | 27c | 99.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 27c | 96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Yes | 27c | 94.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 27c | 93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 28c | 71.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 77c | 66.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 27c | 57.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…e8acbacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…3a77backed No | 77c | 54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 24c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Yes | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Yes | 27c | 41.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8911…5ffabacked Yes | 27c | 39.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafcd…8014backed Yes | 30c | 35.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 72c | 22.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked No | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 69c | 16.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 70c | 16.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charlotte FC vs. New York Red Bulls end in a draw?this page
- Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-03-21?Yes won
- Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-03-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.