Mls · resolved market
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a29b6138ad19369c3f54df9fdf162b695ce94857d6bb9d893a7789ef3236263
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,833 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 50c | 7,904$3,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,939.62 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 50c | 6,868$3,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,403.83 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 40c | 6,500$2,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,593.8 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 50c | 4,800$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 53c | 4,271$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.7 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 50c | 3,878$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.17 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc540…f7e5backed No | 50c | 3,400$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 3,169$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.11 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Yes | 50c | 2,833$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes | 50c | 1,950$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.8 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Yes | 50c | 1,820$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 51c | 784$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.39 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 35c | 723.93$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.96 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 69c | 595$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.53 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 29c | 592.69$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.1 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 50c | 514$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed No | 76c | 474.5$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 31c | 467.49$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.57 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 27c | 445.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.63 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 78c | 422.05$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 70c | 418.12$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.87 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 392.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.12 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 53c | 391.56$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.58 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Yes | 51c | 387.71$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 50c | 375$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 36c | 368.73$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.69 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 30c | 346.18$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.31 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 37c | 329.11$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.81 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 56c | 315.64$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.7 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 67c | 301.12$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.58 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 51c | 213.58$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.65 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Yes | 79c | 199.73$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 44c | 184.64$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.19 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 51c | 184.31$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 53c | 176$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.85 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 50c | 175$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 50c | 169$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed No | 76c | 156.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 49c | 144.8$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 51c | 131.37$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.37 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked No | 51c | 125$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed No | 51c | 125$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Yes | 50c | 114.89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 62c | 103.9$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c84…ac9abacked No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes | 49c | 94.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Yes | 52c | 93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 50c | 91.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 50c | 90.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 60c | 79.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked No | 51c | 78.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 56c | 74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed No | 51c | 73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Yes | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +130.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 35c | 61.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 58c | 61.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…0b9cbacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed No | 51c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 50c | 51.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dab…dc59backed No | 51c | 51.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 36c | 50.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe856…4711backed No | 49c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 50c | 44.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked No | 67c | 44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -9.8wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d9…a600backed No | 49c | 38.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 47c | 38.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 85 | 68.2%58 W · 27 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed No | 51c | 38.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe2…0d54backed Yes | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 49c | 33.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 49c | 28.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed No | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…64f0backed Yes | 52c | 26.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 50c | 26.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…0f11backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed No | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 59c | 23.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-21?No won
- Will St. Louis City SC vs. New England Revolution end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.