Mls · resolved market
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x333cf8c80e6a80372c6ade1e71332019277e6e4fa9738a841e2eb878693c8be5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,616 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,250$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.67 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 1,133$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.01 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 1,023$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.34 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 819.84$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.6 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 740.82$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.05 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 3c | 674.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 621.99$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.7 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 25c | 500.63$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.86 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 37c | 465.32$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.85 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 26c | 462$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.79 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 54c | 449.3$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.68 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 42c | 402.79$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.89 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 26c | 279$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 234.07$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 56c | 187.72$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.84 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 74c | 180$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 154.63$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 75c | 154.63$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 74c | 151.33$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 34c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 76c | 135.5$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 29c | 130.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 24c | 116.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 26c | 106.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 24c | 104$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 59c | 95.31$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d9…a600backed No | 75c | 71.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked No | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 75c | 62.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 70c | 58.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked Yes | 42c | 56.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 70c | 42.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 69c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed No | 60c | 36.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 63c | 33.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 61c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked No | 75c | 29.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked No | 76c | 29.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 62c | 24.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 62c | 23.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf4…50f2backed Yes | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba92…babfbacked No | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed No | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 76c | 14.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will St. Louis City SC vs. New England Revolution end in a draw?No won
- Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-03-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.