Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: PEEK vs RED Canids (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Play-In
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x039fb52b114551f50659d2b3ffa32f7297cf58e1629c6172ce31ae65d949103f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RED Canidsof PEEK, RED Canids
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,178 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked RED Canids | 57c | 2,435$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked PEEK | 43c | 2,237$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.89 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed RED Canids | 58c | 1,009$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.49 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed PEEK | 45c | 1,006$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.79 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…bc3dbacked PEEK | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked PEEK | 42c | 706$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.14 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked PEEK | 43c | 703.39$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.95 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed RED Canids | 57c | 450$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.78 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked RED Canids | 54c | 271.98$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.11 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed PEEK | 43c | 183.62$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed RED Canids | 55c | 171.62$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.23 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked RED Canids | 55c | 121.52$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked RED Canids | 56c | 119.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked RED Canids | 58c | 119$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…a304backed RED Canids | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked RED Canids | 58c | 96.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bb…288cbacked RED Canids | 59c | 81.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…bac3backed PEEK | 44c | 79.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed PEEK | 42c | 68.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed PEEK | 43c | 67.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed RED Canids | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd5…84c4backed PEEK | 44c | 56.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed PEEK | 39c | 41.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed RED Canids | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked RED Canids | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed RED Canids | 57c | 29.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…64f0backed PEEK | 41c | 27.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed RED Canids | 58c | 25.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed PEEK | 46c | 21.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…e653backed RED Canids | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: PEEK vs RED Canids (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Play-Inthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.