Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Winthrop University vs Blue Otter (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 1 Relegation Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb01938882679c65446101a35c524177f2863765509495d58248ca1ff1e1d9af1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Winthrop Universityof Winthrop University, Blue Otter
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,726 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01fc…5c93backed Winthrop University | 49c | 5,756$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,922.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Blue Otter | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.83 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Blue Otter | 45c | 1,788$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.72 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Blue Otter | 29c | 1,231$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.09 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Winthrop University | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3df…f557backed Blue Otter | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Blue Otter | 50c | 776.57$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.09 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bb…f0fabacked Winthrop University | 52c | 569.82$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.06 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +39%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Winthrop University | 49c | 391.84$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.84 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Winthrop University | 55c | 363.79$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.55 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Winthrop University | 55c | 299.33$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.69 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Winthrop University | 55c | 218.17$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.17 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Winthrop University | 56c | 145$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Blue Otter | 60c | 128.7$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.88 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…9a00backed Winthrop University | 80c | 117.17$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Winthrop University | 56c | 113$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Winthrop University | 51c | 103.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Blue Otter | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed Blue Otter | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Blue Otter | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Winthrop University | 56c | 71.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Blue Otter | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Blue Otter | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Winthrop University | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Winthrop University | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Winthrop University | 38c | 35.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…64f0backed Blue Otter | 44c | 27.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Winthrop University | 51c | 27.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Winthrop University | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.