Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: AB3 Esports vs Chivas Esports (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5f97594fa8f4ded8ce6be9a1254035eb8165e3da2b2933cace484b5e660d0f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chivas Esportsof AB3 Esports, Chivas Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,251 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbbd9…7776backed AB3 Esports | 21c | 651$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2df1…fd83backed AB3 Esports | 21c | 521$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eec…7111backed AB3 Esports | 21c | 520$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x446a…2d7dbacked AB3 Esports | 21c | 507$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…0bb9backed Chivas Esports | 79c | 327$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5b…b252backed Chivas Esports | 79c | 324$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed AB3 Esports | 16c | 276$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865e…f2d4backed Chivas Esports | 79c | 264$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7c…1c02backed Chivas Esports | 79c | 262$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…bf3ebacked Chivas Esports | 79c | 258$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9573…4b98backed Chivas Esports | 79c | 257$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…e380backed Chivas Esports | 79c | 256$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79aa…f5b9backed Chivas Esports | 79c | 251$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Chivas Esports | 79c | 136.71$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked AB3 Esports | 13c | 118$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked AB3 Esports | 14c | 105.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed AB3 Esports | 19c | 63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…64f0backed AB3 Esports | 21c | 59.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Chivas Esports | 79c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chivas Esports | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Chivas Esports | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.