Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cfd23e7df9515fc3ad541f64bbc5b6ca7c4eb5c464881a3a7d016ec8ed9187b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 0c | 7,484$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0462…8374backed Yes | 0c | 2,833$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 1c | 2,792$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 2c | 1,950$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 19c | 1,749$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.03 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 33c | 1,506$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.87 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,403$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.68 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 80c | 999.98$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 3c | 940.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…b496backed No | 78c | 770.16$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.16 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 71c | 528.23$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.95 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…488cbacked Yes | 21c | 482.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe57…3920backed Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 34c | 379.02$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 363.62$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.68 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…b9e8backed No | 69c | 346.88$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb9…191abacked No | 69c | 322.08$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.44 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3be7…ad70backed Yes | 4c | 293.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 134 | 11.9%16 W · 118 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 72c | 281$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.39 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 67c | 238.52$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.71 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 9c | 186$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 185.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed Yes | 23c | 172.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 20c | 165$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 70c | 141.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.11 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 75c | 135.1$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 24c | 134.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 71c | 126.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 14c | 125.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed Yes | 16c | 125.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 28c | 118.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 30c | 113$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…54cfbacked Yes | 27c | 109.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 319 | 43.3%138 W · 181 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…89bfbacked Yes | 28c | 107.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes | 18c | 106.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa368…1b9cbacked Yes | 19c | 104.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 66c | 99.23$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…b5c9backed Yes | 29c | 98.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 20c | 98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf745…bf49backed Yes | 31c | 93.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 22c | 88.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc6…22a6backed Yes | 23c | 84.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…edf6backed Yes | 23c | 84.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 31c | 82.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 25c | 80.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd338…9fd3backed No | 71c | 74.68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…71a6backed Yes | 35c | 70.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -6.6wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 64c | 67.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed Yes | 27c | 66.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…c396backed Yes | 32c | 63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 232 | 41.8%97 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…cc81backed No | 70c | 61.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 33c | 61.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 462 | 40.5%187 W · 275 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 849 | 30.6%260 W · 589 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 22c | 56.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec0…a64abacked No | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 188 | 62.8%118 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 34c | 54.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b72…dc2ebacked Yes | 32c | 50.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 284 | 41.5%118 W · 166 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 28c | 42.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1f…eb96backed Yes | 28c | 41.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 33c | 39.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…281bbacked Yes | 32c | 37.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73b…10bfbacked Yes | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 283 | 44.5%126 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x232a…4895backed Yes | 33c | 34.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…7e3ebacked Yes | 35c | 34.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked No | 78c | 32.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 64c | 27.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…4983backed No | 72c | 27.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 336 | 54.2%182 W · 154 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 62c | 26.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…9611backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…7219backed No | 72c | 25.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 78 | 76.9%60 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 72c | 22.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…e66dbacked No | 74c | 20.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -6.8wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed No | 74c | 19.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 464 | 57.5%267 W · 197 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x554e…b670backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 79c | 14.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa143…1303backed No | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 92°F or higher on July 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 5?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.