Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac6b0c87c382c90a01f11345bff562e95118634502e69b84d618b4d1deb812c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec86…60e4backed No | 76c | 1,247$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.76 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 22c | 527.31$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.68 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 33c | 500.61$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.19 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 40c | 429.73$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.21 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 71c | 388.14$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.5 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad9…2647backed Yes | 22c | 328.05$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.16 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 22c | 309.33$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.82 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed No | 13c | 275$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 68c | 274$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.2 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 41c | 263$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.45 | 259 | 47.1%122 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa6…f2fbbacked Yes | 29c | 250$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.05 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 35c | 217.79$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.89 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 48c | 191.36$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.14 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 72c | 159.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.19 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 73c | 151.45$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.86 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…405abacked Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 65c | 144.84$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.65 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 42c | 141.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.61 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…87d3backed Yes | 27c | 137.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.97 | 303 | 32.3%98 W · 205 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 57c | 130.08$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 26c | 125.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 31c | 123.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 54c | 123.09$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…18e2backed Yes | 67c | 122.2$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +26.2wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 12c | 121.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 25c | 119.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.74 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3c…4929backed No | 71c | 114.44$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.37 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 43c | 112$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…e968backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb8…0d00backed Yes | 77c | 96.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 206 | 62.1%128 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 32c | 96.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.85 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecc…77dabacked Yes | 26c | 95.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.41 | 404 | 38.1%154 W · 250 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 39c | 90$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 48c | 87.16$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d44…7023backed Yes | 25c | 84.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 56 | 80.4%45 W · 11 L | +17.3wins | +0.31per pick | 50cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 54c | 81.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 39c | 81.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 56c | 81.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…2ca4backed Yes | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 208 | 33.2%69 W · 139 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 22c | 75.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…0cc4backed Yes | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 76c | 73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c30…b668backed Yes | 26c | 72.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.48 | 159 | 40.3%64 W · 95 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 24c | 72.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x331d…8846backed Yes | 28c | 72.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | +38.6wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4149…8147backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked Yes | 21c | 70.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.33 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c6…3eb7backed Yes | 51c | 69.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 24c | 65.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 34c | 61.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 28c | 56.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 55c | 56.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 46c | 54.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 635 | 38.4%244 W · 391 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 19c | 53.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193f…d5aebacked Yes | 28c | 51.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +253.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked Yes | 25c | 50.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3c…c6d8backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…9c50backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…447bbacked Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 32c | 49.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 53c | 48.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…6060backed No | 53c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4606…7f19backed No | 71c | 44.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb1…6644backed Yes | 34c | 43.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 64c | 43.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd988…6ce5backed Yes | 28c | 43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 58c | 41.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 79c | 41.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 1,088 | 55.5%604 W · 484 L | -27.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Yes | 37c | 40.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 74c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec4…cb91backed No | 57c | 37.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…0484backed Yes | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 161 | 29.2%47 W · 114 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 74c | 36.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 54c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 53c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 34c | 34.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked Yes | 32c | 32.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 78c | 31.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 63c | 27.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 47c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe229…ea0fbacked Yes | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 40c | 25.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e40…f89cbacked Yes | 61c | 25.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 245 | 69.8%171 W · 74 L | +30.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb349…cd79backed Yes | 75c | 23.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2e…f022backed No | 56c | 22.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…c9fdbacked No | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa109…7e42backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 110 | 68.2%75 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…4c65backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 278 | 52.9%147 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7903…57f6backed No | 73c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 277 | 69%191 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 79c | 13.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.93 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…9600backed Yes | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.