Asian League · resolved market
FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72239628f5e4f9d326307f546c8b33b268b5a92a0baba48b96aa04ca6c43e48f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 49c | 1,170$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.44 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Yes | 55c | 715$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.36 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +10.6wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 49c | 479.92$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.92 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 73c | 468.45$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.48 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 51c | 442.92$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.57 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 45c | 407.5$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.38 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 396.26$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.56 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.28per pick | 51cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…e968backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 12c | 112.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 63c | 107.34$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Yes | 56c | 107$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +7.1wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 52c | 94.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed No | 52c | 93.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 42c | 88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e14…5adabacked Yes | 80c | 85.46$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 48c | 77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 59c | 62.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fea…f2c9backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 67c | 50.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 46c | 46.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Yes | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 32c | 40.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 51c | 24.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 48c | 22.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: FC Anyang O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Anyang (-1.5)Gangwon FC won
- Spread: FC Anyang (-2.5)Gangwon FC won
- Spread: Gangwon FC (-1.5)FC Anyang won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.