Asian League · resolved market
Spread: FC Anyang (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48ef3480ed1defa49f8712a5f634af4a9806d654696cb8880311198ee1c35d15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gangwon FCof FC Anyang, Gangwon FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked FC Anyang | 26c | 1,295$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.93 | 201 | 65.7%132 W · 69 L | +28.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed FC Anyang | 30c | 817$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.1 | 398 | 55.8%222 W · 176 L | +31.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Gangwon FC | 74c | 674$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.28 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gangwon FC | 78c | 557.1$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.04 | 723 | 42%304 W · 419 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Gangwon FC | 70c | 461$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.3 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed FC Anyang | 19c | 433$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.27 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed FC Anyang | 14c | 433$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed FC Anyang | 26c | 426$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.76 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Gangwon FC | 39c | 412.79$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.8 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +11.7wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Gangwon FC | 70c | 359$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.7 | 219 | 53.9%118 W · 101 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed FC Anyang | 61c | 352.26$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.88 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FC Anyang | 29c | 219$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 273 | 37%101 W · 172 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed FC Anyang | 42c | 190.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…d858backed Gangwon FC | 73c | 128$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed FC Anyang | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FC Anyang | 40c | 92.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0123backed FC Anyang | 42c | 75.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked FC Anyang | 61c | 60.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed FC Anyang | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed FC Anyang | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Anyang (-1.5)this page
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: FC Anyang O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Anyang (-2.5)Gangwon FC won
- Spread: Gangwon FC (-1.5)FC Anyang won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.