Asian League · resolved market
FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d9fbd471fff46c1a9a9225b0dcf00f8a8e60676181d616ad765c6bc90320bd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 70c | 6,573$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.86 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 3,659$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.86 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 25c | 1,379$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.04 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 68c | 829.08$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.69 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 30c | 800$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 30c | 643.73$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.12 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Under | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 77c | 599$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.27 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 8c | 558.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 8c | 462.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 74c | 413$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.05 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +9.7wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 30c | 249.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 18c | 216.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 582 | 43%250 W · 332 L | -26.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 32c | 189.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 30c | 135$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 236 | 60.2%142 W · 94 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 30c | 115.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 313 | 59.7%187 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 30c | 88.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 30c | 71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 27c | 68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 562 | 45.4%255 W · 307 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 30c | 58.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fea…f2c9backed Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 34c | 37.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 72c | 30.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 72c | 27.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…521fbacked Over | 69c | 24.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 78c | 23.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 762 | 55.9%426 W · 336 L | +38.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: FC Anyang O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Anyang (-1.5)Gangwon FC won
- Spread: FC Anyang (-2.5)Gangwon FC won
- Spread: Gangwon FC (-1.5)FC Anyang won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.