Asian League · resolved market
FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd480051cfede717fc0dc5a4e19c31193a1fe879a9e251c7bc05d030ac1e57fa7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 63c | 1,465$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.11 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 38c | 1,102$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.05 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 1,013$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 34c | 842$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.28 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 53c | 750.63$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.62 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 43c | 558.65$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.08 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 29c | 546.18$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.98 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 51c | 441.53$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.92 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +11.6wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 33c | 402.45$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.29 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +10.5wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 53c | 248.31$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.48 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 26c | 176.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.35 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 74c | 151.15$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.85 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Under | 59c | 145.48$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Over | 56c | 130.5$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Over | 52c | 73.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 48c | 73.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Over | 59c | 67.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Over | 60c | 59.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 28c | 56.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 67c | 56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 46c | 50.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 34c | 37.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 63c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 59c | 33.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Over | 59c | 33.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 36 | 77.8%28 W · 8 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 49c | 24.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 72c | 24.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Over | 61c | 18.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: FC Anyang O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Anyang (-1.5)Gangwon FC won
- Spread: FC Anyang (-2.5)Gangwon FC won
- Spread: Gangwon FC (-1.5)FC Anyang won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.