Ligue 1 · resolved market
Toulouse FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94c62eca635a6d950c5cdcd7eb7c9f70c071e7448f39aca66600a3761c1d208f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 2,613$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.33 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e63…ed53backed Yes | 38c | 2,408$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 57c | 1,275$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.75 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 43c | 700.11$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.06 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 43c | 491.87$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.37 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 43c | 461.86$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.26 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 74c | 289.31$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…e968backed Yes | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 17c | 242.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 58c | 206.51$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.62 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 57c | 175.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 43c | 149.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 52c | 122.62$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.78 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae19…9d13backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 58c | 96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 87.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.08 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc81…3f87backed Yes | 57c | 86.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Yes | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 44c | 54.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 42c | 49.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 57c | 44.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 64c | 42.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Yes | 56c | 39.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 80c | 34.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…6600backed Yes | 32c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 48c | 28.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…bbd5backed Yes | 57c | 26.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…cdfdbacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 62c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toulouse FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5)Toulouse FC won
- Spread: Toulouse FC (-1.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
- Spread: Toulouse FC (-2.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
- Toulouse FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Toulouse FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 0.5Over won
- Toulouse FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5Over won
- Toulouse FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5Under won
- Toulouse FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5Under won
- Toulouse FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5Under won
- Toulouse FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 5.5Under won
- Toulouse FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Olympique Lyonnais O/U 0.5Over won
- Toulouse FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Olympique Lyonnais O/U 1.5Over won
- Toulouse FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Toulouse FC O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.