Lol · resolved market
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae701be9dfc80b3439da26faeccdfbf3dfdcc31b80a9c659f787fad513f40720
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTSof E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS, HMBLE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed HMBLE | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked HMBLE | 36c | 1,622$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.7 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 77c | 1,175$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.56 | 520 | 65.4%340 W · 180 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed HMBLE | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked HMBLE | 28c | 766.33$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.62 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 71c | 750$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.39 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 63c | 522$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.14 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed HMBLE | 32c | 503.52$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.68 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef1…add2backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 66c | 496.95$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.97 | 228 | 67.5%154 W · 74 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 63c | 496$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.52 | 488 | 47.3%231 W · 257 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 70c | 431.93$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.93 | 392 | 66.6%261 W · 131 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 64c | 358$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.07 | 105 | 41.9%44 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 64c | 353.75$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.35 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 64c | 331.25$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.25 | 197 | 52.8%104 W · 93 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…4292backed HMBLE | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked HMBLE | 34c | 268.02$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.06 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked HMBLE | 24c | 264.16$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked HMBLE | 28c | 261.91$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.25 | 407 | 41.5%169 W · 238 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 70c | 260$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.14 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ec…267dbacked HMBLE | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…e968backed HMBLE | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed HMBLE | 13c | 240.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked HMBLE | 31c | 228.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.05 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked HMBLE | 28c | 212.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed HMBLE | 26c | 211.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 67c | 210.57$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 508 | 45.3%230 W · 278 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 64c | 208$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 64c | 181.88$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HMBLE | 32c | 165.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…cf93backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked HMBLE | 36c | 144.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed HMBLE | 32c | 136.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae8…e1b3backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 70c | 133.19$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed HMBLE | 30c | 128.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…74d3backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 80c | 125.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked HMBLE | 15c | 122.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked HMBLE | 23c | 119.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked HMBLE | 13c | 110.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 212 | 31.1%66 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed HMBLE | 29c | 98.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 73c | 98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe896…a4c7backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 69c | 95.65$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 279 | 62.4%174 W · 105 L | +20.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 74c | 94$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked HMBLE | 26c | 63.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked HMBLE | 35c | 62.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 1,055 | 39.6%418 W · 637 L | -74.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 64c | 56.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 64c | 56.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…b62dbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 71c | 50.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 685 | 57.5%394 W · 291 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 65c | 46.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked HMBLE | 37c | 44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 197 | 58.9%116 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 63c | 40.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f9…7d44backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked HMBLE | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 696 | 44.4%309 W · 387 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed HMBLE | 36c | 35.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…2deebacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 68c | 32.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 235 | 62.1%146 W · 89 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 70c | 31.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 581 | 55.6%323 W · 258 L | +17.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c15…a96cbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 64c | 30.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 303 | 66.3%201 W · 102 L | +34.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaf21…d34abacked HMBLE | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1,247 | 52.8%659 W · 588 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5423…8b45backed HMBLE | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6748…3c4cbacked HMBLE | 37c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…9588backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 311 | 55.9%174 W · 137 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…13c0backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 71c | 26.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 66c | 20.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: EWI (-1.5) vs HMBLE (+1.5)E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group AE WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS won
- LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 1 WinnerE WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.