Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: EWI (-1.5) vs HMBLE (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x306f03c1d4acd2b712e46852902d501851475dc59f4a2058fcf3263a76993fd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTSof E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS, HMBLE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked HMBLE | 54c | 5,835$3,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.24 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 43c | 2,000$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.25 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 45c | 1,905$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.85 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 47c | 1,595$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.35 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked HMBLE | 55c | 1,508$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.22 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed HMBLE | 57c | 1,009$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.53 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 46c | 999.98$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed HMBLE | 58c | 749.98$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.99 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed HMBLE | 55c | 631.99$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.6 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7587…c65abacked HMBLE | 58c | 520$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 46c | 507.05$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.02 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 43c | 302.96$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.87 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 45c | 293.33$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.33 | 507 | 45%228 W · 279 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd89c…2d1fbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 42c | 240$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb1…d11ebacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 155 | 41.3%64 W · 91 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 44c | 231$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.36 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed HMBLE | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x109b…935fbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 42c | 178.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.57 | 282 | 61%172 W · 110 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae8…e1b3backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 43c | 163.42$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.42 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 45c | 160$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 389 | 45.2%176 W · 213 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked HMBLE | 56c | 144$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 197 | 58.9%116 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 584 | 37.2%217 W · 367 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 44c | 98.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.57 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed HMBLE | 56c | 89.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -13.2wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed HMBLE | 56c | 81.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 44c | 79.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 142 | 43.7%62 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed HMBLE | 58c | 65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0335…6829backed HMBLE | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 41c | 54.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked HMBLE | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff9f…ae5abacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed HMBLE | 58c | 36.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed HMBLE | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5423…8b45backed HMBLE | 59c | 32.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 40c | 32.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed HMBLE | 59c | 27.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 149 | 60.4%90 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked HMBLE | 59c | 25.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 48c | 23.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: EWI (-1.5) vs HMBLE (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group AE WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS won
- LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 1 WinnerE WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS won
- LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 2 WinnerE WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.