Mls · resolved market
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1d25d45c5397eb9c22ee02bad6c3c8b0c69e1bf6db86cb9e6b51da3e04e7651
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 76c | 11,595$8,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,837.15 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes | 27c | 7,571$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.35 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 19c | 3,841$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.2 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 75c | 1,562$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.85 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 25c | 837.87$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.46 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 29c | 704.61$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.75 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 19c | 655.57$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.73 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 58c | 458.1$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.7 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 18c | 419.91$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.36 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 25c | 351.1$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.53 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 42c | 336.21$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 321.17$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.31 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Yes | 46c | 302.83$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 76c | 297.64$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.29 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 34c | 267.24$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.67 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…e968backed Yes | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 24c | 183.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 61c | 164.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 37c | 158.73$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 60c | 146.75$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.65 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 27c | 146.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 40c | 137.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 59c | 131.44$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 39c | 123.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.46 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 60c | 111.8$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 37c | 72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 27c | 69.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 42c | 67.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.71 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 48c | 62.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d7…fcbbbacked Yes | 22c | 59.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 59c | 56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed No | 42c | 49.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 59c | 42.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Yes | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 40c | 33.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Yes | 58c | 30.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 58c | 21.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +32%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: FC Dallas (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: FC Dallas 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: FC Dallas O/U 2.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 3.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 4.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 5.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.