Mls · resolved market
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf69fcb74404cbda21ccbc909092f5eaa211f3758d240118bbc33b15e72112411
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 59c | 6,657$3,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.5 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Over | 1c | 5,013$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 65c | 2,315$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked Over | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Over | 36c | 1,775$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.91 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 33c | 1,615$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.8 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 22c | 1,384$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.61 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 47c | 1,344$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.2 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Under | 66c | 1,051$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.64 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 43c | 1,051$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.18 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 54c | 1,004$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.98 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 40c | 964.73$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.59 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 37c | 512.56$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.64 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 40c | 440.59$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.1 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7b…90dfbacked Under | 53c | 400$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 52c | 375.49$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.9 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 12c | 357.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Over | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 46c | 270.55$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.73 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed Under | 65c | 264.62$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 41c | 196.5$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.01 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 66c | 182.28$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Over | 48c | 175.13$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.49 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 58c | 171.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 34c | 166.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.72 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 12c | 137.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 52c | 127.78$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.79 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…bf2ebacked Over | 26c | 123.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Under | 69c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 62c | 112.21$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 43c | 107.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 68c | 106.38$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 21c | 100.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 47c | 98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 47c | 93.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Under | 80c | 90.63$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 67c | 83.22$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 39c | 81.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…e803backed Over | 36c | 71.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 59c | 52.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Over | 57c | 48.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 55c | 48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 37c | 46.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed Under | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…6600backed Over | 43c | 34.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…561dbacked Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 55cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…c59ebacked Under | 54c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Over | 39c | 30.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d23…53d3backed Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781d…201bbacked Over | 63c | 29.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 51c | 26.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 64c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 52c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: FC Dallas (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: FC Dallas 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: FC Dallas O/U 2.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 3.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 4.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.