Mls · resolved market
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11a36de9ec85268724153e53171b40df694ac1879da49d1e4aa8e41fed770249
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Over | 43c | 12,266$5,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,967.33 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 56c | 8,141$4,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,595.23 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 1,540$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 57c | 1,274$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.49 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Over | 47c | 1,071$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.13 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 62c | 1,008$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.33 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 30c | 957.15$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.46 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 39c | 927.87$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.87 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 31c | 700$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Over | 47c | 359.33$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.54 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 39c | 312.34$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.81 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 57c | 287$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.59 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 57c | 287$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.59 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 52c | 195.39$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.03 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 56c | 184.97$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.58 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 174.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 44c | 142.51$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.72 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 112$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 37c | 107.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 57c | 80.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…7d67backed Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 56c | 78.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 48c | 76.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 55c | 70.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -9.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 19c | 70.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 54c | 64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 54c | 55.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 80c | 55.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Over | 46c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +5.6wins | +0.40per pick | 46cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Over | 44c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 44c | 42.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Over | 60c | 38.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 47c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 47c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 54c | 36.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 54c | 35.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5a…9682backed Under | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 56c | 34.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 75c | 33.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under | 56c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 55c | 29.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Over | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 56c | 26.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Under | 56c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x099c…e42cbacked Under | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Under | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: FC Dallas (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: FC Dallas 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: FC Dallas O/U 2.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 4.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 5.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.