TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Vancouver Whitecaps FCof Vancouver Whitecaps FC, FC Dallas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,505
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,499

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,505 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked FC Dallas74c2,112$1,565 inLost-$1,564.6935550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC26c1,926$500 inWon+$1,42620043%86 W · 114 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC24c613.8$150 inWon+$463.441,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed FC Dallas76c422$323 inLost-$322.521,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked FC Dallas75c127.97$96 inLost-$95.9827047%127 W · 143 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC40c111.39$44 inWon+$67.351,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC22c74.09$16 inWon+$57.797460.8%45 W · 29 L+12.8wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+38.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC76c70.5$54 inWon+$16.8638246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked FC Dallas75c66$50 inLost-$49.52055%11 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed FC Dallas78c56.33$44 inLost-$43.943,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC25c52.59$13 inWon+$39.4416948.5%82 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4c6…f5c0backed FC Dallas60c50$30 inLost-$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-37.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC36c44.8$16 inWon+$28.7799340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e82…7ab7backed FC Dallas40c40.06$16 inLost-$162568%17 W · 8 L+5.3wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+38.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked FC Dallas75c37.69$28 inLost-$28.3944350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed FC Dallas65c37.2$24 inLost-$24.0568150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked FC Dallas70c33$23 inLost-$22.9882044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC41c30$12 inWon+$17.746156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed FC Dallas72c27.68$20 inLost-$19.935525.5%14 W · 41 L-9.9wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-44.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x8f65…ec56backed FC Dallas72c27.13$20 inLost-$19.53520%1 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.51per pick71cpaid-73.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed FC Dallas77c26.07$20 inLost-$19.993246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked FC Dallas78c24.99$20 inLost-$19.5419852.5%104 W · 94 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.