Mls · resolved market
Orlando City SC vs. Real Salt Lake: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe51c141a7f5214954fa988e3b49dead55b226341c9fc6fe1311ab3ab9cb91416
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 69c | 2,612$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.39 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Yes | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 31c | 1,145$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.38 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 32c | 662.21$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.05 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 31c | 620.35$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.15 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 31c | 558.38$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.81 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed No | 5c | 451.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 21c | 432$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 68c | 336.61$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.72 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 67c | 312.48$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.68 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 68c | 255.25$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.73 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked No | 5c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 69c | 138.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 10c | 136.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 31c | 117.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 32c | 100.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 65c | 94.88$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 67c | 89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 67c | 89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Yes | 56c | 84$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…f0b2backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 43c | 69.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 36c | 62.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked Yes | 68c | 42.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 79c | 31.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee5…5e7dbacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Orlando City SC vs. Real Salt Lake: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Orlando City SC vs. Real Salt Lake: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Orlando City SC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 1.5Over won
- Orlando City SC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5Over won
- Orlando City SC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5Under won
- Orlando City SC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 4.5Under won
- Orlando City SC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 5.5Under won
- Orlando City SC vs. Real Salt Lake: Orlando City SC O/U 1.5Over won
- Orlando City SC vs. Real Salt Lake: Orlando City SC O/U 2.5Under won
- Orlando City SC vs. Real Salt Lake: Real Salt Lake O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: Orlando City SC (-1.5)Real Salt Lake won
- Spread: Orlando City SC (-2.5)Real Salt Lake won
- Spread: Real Salt Lake (-1.5)Orlando City SC won
- Spread: Real Salt Lake (-2.5)Orlando City SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.