TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,117
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,139

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,117 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over13c2,047$270 inLost-$270.15,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over19c780.39$146 inLost-$145.9113833.3%46 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over12c500$60 inLost-$602317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over29c349.96$101 inLost-$101.491,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over12c299.99$35 inLost-$351241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under79c261.49$206 inWon+$55.578,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under72c166.08$119 inWon+$46.871,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under73c120.74$88 inWon+$32.957463.5%47 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over19c65$13 inLost-$12.622,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…49c9backed Over21c61.44$13 inLost-$12.616256.5%35 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over28c57.53$16 inLost-$16.1122145.7%101 W · 120 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde24…2b2fbacked Over31c51.95$16 inLost-$16.12751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Over29c47.99$14 inLost-$13.9218247.8%87 W · 95 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Over28c42.46$12 inLost-$11.8911944.5%53 W · 66 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under78c33$26 inWon+$7.2621752.1%113 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…a070backed Under78c31.15$24 inWon+$6.85450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under76c30$23 inWon+$7.0829037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Under71c20$14 inWon+$5.825345.1%114 W · 139 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.