South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x667782db64f0eb0fc143e695ae161b7d0adaeee025c6c9ee44ee9ed146b1d71e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,152
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,152 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 2,815$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.24 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…e5c2backed Yes | 52c | 2,210$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.87 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 48c | 619.44$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.37 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 4c | 618.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 3c | 615.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 56c | 576.05$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.72 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 44c | 505.75$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.53 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 56c | 358.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.51 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Yes | 55c | 223$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.35 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425a…c41ebacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 47c | 165.88$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 44c | 121.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 49c | 106.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1b…6399backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…1120backed Yes | 56c | 94.02$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 44c | 68.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47df…2183backed Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed No | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 45c | 56.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Yes | 56c | 53.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x010c…a158backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd1…73a1backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 58c | 40.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 58c | 34.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…7e69backed Yes | 50c | 31.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked No | 50c | 24.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca44…502ebacked Yes | 51c | 22.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: CA Mineiro 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: CA Mineiro 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: CA Mineiro O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: CA Mineiro O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: EC Bahia O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: EC Bahia O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: EC Bahia O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)EC Bahia won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-2.5)EC Bahia won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-1.5)CA Mineiro won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-2.5)CA Mineiro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.