South American Leagues · resolved market

Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d19bcd7f4731f598a07c8dd2f27720eca73ee8edcc9798f448da7c4361664f2

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $54,645
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $65,771

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,645 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x40e8…88a4backed Under	62c	9,954$6,172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,782.59	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Over	38c	4,000$1,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,520	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	29c	3,396$992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$992.4	8,107	48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L	+26.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	32c	3,295$1,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,065.77	2,281	34.3%782 W · 1,499 L	-30.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	30c	2,973$879 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$878.68	5,757	45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L	+94.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9245…c593backed Under	66c	2,265$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$764.62	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under	64c	2,116$1,353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$762.71	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over	33c	1,639$546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546.29	138	33.3%46 W · 92 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Over	58c	1,196$695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$694.6	126	46%58 W · 68 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Over	48c	1,025$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under	52c	1,000$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480	200	36.5%73 W · 127 L	-6.4wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	42c	935.11$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$537.72	1,537	45.2%695 W · 842 L	+21.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over	19c	838.06$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.58	331	52.6%174 W · 157 L	+8.3wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	36c	755.11$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$483.51	217	52.1%113 W · 104 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x744c…e37fbacked Under	76c	720.41$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.41	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	65cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over	16c	667.5$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	67	35.8%24 W · 43 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over	56c	651.23$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.9	313	49.8%156 W · 157 L	+13.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under	43c	592.7$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.18	352	46.9%165 W · 187 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	26c	560.21$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.92	1,443	45.9%662 W · 781 L	-22.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	71c	525$374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.86	3,749	38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L	-33.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Over	50c	507.73$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.05	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over	62c	435.21$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.83	86	57%49 W · 37 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+29%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over	39c	387.77$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.23	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over	19c	373.39$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.91	194	47.9%93 W · 101 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Over	62c	343.36$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.84	123	40.7%50 W · 73 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under	63c	317.46$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.46	220	49.1%108 W · 112 L	-8.0wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1db2…dacabacked Under	61c	301.64$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.77	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under	67c	300$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.1	103	64.1%66 W · 37 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	69cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	49c	294.11$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	575	40.2%231 W · 344 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	35c	269.36$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.04	852	20.7%176 W · 676 L	-85.2wins	-0.10per pick	31cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under	77c	259.74$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.74	160	51.3%82 W · 78 L	+5.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	55c	250.08$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.97	898	46.1%414 W · 484 L	-11.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under	71c	208.44$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.01	552	50.2%277 W · 275 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa4a…aa02backed Under	54c	200$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	41c	193.62$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.07	1,253	56.2%704 W · 549 L	+73.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over	15c	188.14$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.88	646	33.1%214 W · 432 L	-24.8wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd36…6674backed Over	39c	179.49$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Over	57c	173.75$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.65	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-2.7wins	-0.16per pick	39cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under	65c	150.37$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.95	87	55.2%48 W · 39 L	+7.2wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	40c	140.57$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.68	517	50.7%262 W · 255 L	+28.3wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb421…696cbacked Over	44c	140.32$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.74	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabd9…dc3abacked Over	49c	135.65$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.26	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+2.4wins	+0.10per pick	42cpaid	+392.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Over	18c	114.8$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.21	96	41.7%40 W · 56 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over	17c	109$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.53	720	58.8%423 W · 297 L	+29.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	47c	106.6$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	769	51.5%396 W · 373 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbca8…2c1abacked Under	64c	100$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Over	41c	99.98$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.99	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	43c	99.22$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.5	896	45.4%407 W · 489 L	-23.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	215	38.1%82 W · 133 L	+9.9wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	45c	72.62$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.87	1,038	49.4%513 W · 525 L	+14.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	18c	66.92$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.01	457	46.8%214 W · 243 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over	19c	66.67$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.67	217	65.4%142 W · 75 L	+24.1wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	22c	52.2$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.72	184	26.1%48 W · 136 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over	58c	51.72$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	146	54.1%79 W · 67 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafcf…72f6backed Under	68c	50$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.9	57	59.6%34 W · 23 L	-4.5wins	-0.08per pick	68cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under	59c	45$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.45	190	50.5%96 W · 94 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Under	69c	43.48$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.48	109	66.1%72 W · 37 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	68cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Over	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e35…ee1abacked Under	69c	39.13$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.13	18	83.3%15 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	74cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Under	40c	37.27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.51	59	57.6%34 W · 25 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Over	73c	37.27$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.21	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf8e…b1d0backed Over	37c	36.84$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.63	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	+122.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c36…4da4backed Over	62c	36$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.16	52	30.8%16 W · 36 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Under	75c	32.62$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.09	61	68.9%42 W · 19 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	63cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9d7…fcbbbacked Over	62c	32.39$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	63	50.8%32 W · 31 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Over	64c	30.46$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.44	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over	47c	30.28$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.23	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over	35c	30.21$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.57	951	55.8%531 W · 420 L	+31.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	48c	27.37$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.34	2,170	43.7%948 W · 1,222 L	-53.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under	57c	20.26$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.66	88	21.6%19 W · 69 L	-7.6wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Under	69c	20.18$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.3	155	52.3%81 W · 74 L	+9.7wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Under	67c	19.96$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.59	107	66.4%71 W · 36 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d4b…802bbacked Under	54c	18.52$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.52	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-3.2wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 3.5this page
Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 0.5Over won
Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 1.5Over won
Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 2.5Over won
Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 4.5Under won
Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 5.5Under won
Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: Racing Club O/U 1.5Over won
Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: Racing Club O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata (-1.5)Racing Club won
Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata won
Spread: Racing Club (-2.5)Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event