TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,595
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,007

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,595 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x482a…c85dbacked Under39c2,224$875 inWon+$1,349.578928.1%25 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ae3…d88abacked Over20c1,298$255 inLost-$254.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under80c880.43$700 inWon+$180.4416051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed Over28c606.86$169 inLost-$168.867723.4%18 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Under18c555.52$100 inWon+$455.6312646%58 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over5c263.16$13 inLost-$13.162,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde7e…564dbacked Over33c228.54$75 inLost-$75.263743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over18c175.6$31 inLost-$316735.8%24 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Under75c132.97$100 inWon+$33.4517051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under39c128.19$51 inWon+$77.5611817.8%21 W · 97 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-50.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over25c120$30 inLost-$3076951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40b3…bf2ebacked Over56c70.17$39 inLost-$39.35834.5%20 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe760…19bdbacked Under44c70.17$31 inWon+$39.3837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under22c67.85$15 inWon+$52.811944.5%53 W · 66 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc909…5c2fbacked Under74c67.57$50 inWon+$17.57666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Under18c67.39$12 inWon+$5512738.6%49 W · 78 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe748…c645backed Under23c58.24$13 inWon+$44.921361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+40.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over44c54.88$24 inLost-$24.245746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under34c49.53$17 inWon+$32.6919155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c36…4da4backed Over50c47.36$24 inLost-$23.615230.8%16 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under70c37.63$26 inWon+$11.291,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under80c21.64$17 inWon+$4.3372058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9578…1597backed Under70c16.89$12 inWon+$5.07540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-46.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.