South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bf34713ed70bcbc32e4ee6042450ec36d79dcccb9d1bf3653e2cd2e6fb09ae6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plataof Racing Club, Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Racing Club | 20c | 4,677$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.84 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata | 76c | 3,324$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.92 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Racing Club | 21c | 1,780$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Racing Club | 37c | 425.68$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.04 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…c640backed Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata | 74c | 299.98$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata | 69c | 280.92$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.75 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Racing Club | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata | 79c | 151.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata | 75c | 144.31$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata | 78c | 141.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata | 77c | 88.44$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Racing Club | 15c | 81.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Racing Club | 25c | 72.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata | 76c | 68.76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata | 75c | 66.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Racing Club | 29c | 57.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata | 56c | 56.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Racing Club | 24c | 52.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 162 | 34.6%56 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata | 71c | 49.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Racing Club | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…e9a5backed Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata | 79c | 31.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata | 76c | 26.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata | 56c | 24.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata | 74c | 17.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata | 72c | 16.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)this page
- Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 0.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 2.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 3.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 4.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 5.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: Racing Club O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: Racing Club O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata (-1.5)Racing Club won
- Spread: Racing Club (-2.5)Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.