South American Leagues · resolved market
Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51e4ac47f60e56ac62ca5e5635169b93459f8e4f7b19986ff999427ed15a790a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04d5…66d8backed Over | 66c | 50,151$32,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,186.33 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 13,372$4,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,357.49 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 8,889$2,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,845.77 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 34c | 7,554$2,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,568.36 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 34c | 3,560$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.96 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 35c | 3,243$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.67 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 35c | 2,404$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.16 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 34c | 1,461$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.77 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 35c | 1,428$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 35c | 1,428$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 35c | 1,428$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…cce5backed Under | 38c | 1,198$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.19 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 22c | 1,032$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.58 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 62c | 973.91$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.09 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 34c | 800$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Under | 31c | 682.37$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.37 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 66c | 499.98$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Over | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 34c | 372$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.48 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 65c | 322.34$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.22 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd00c…8154backed Over | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 34c | 285.89$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.7 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 34c | 284.71$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 34c | 270$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 34c | 212.38$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.29 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb1…e05ebacked Under | 34c | 170.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…b55cbacked Over | 67c | 153.83$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Under | 31c | 131.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 34c | 128.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6458…2a3bbacked Under | 38c | 122.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 35c | 122$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 36c | 121.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 33c | 119.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 34c | 115.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 34c | 113.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 34c | 88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 34c | 87.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 34c | 74.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 64c | 63.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 35c | 59.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Under | 34c | 58.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over | 66c | 49.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 23c | 45.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…b7d4backed Under | 34c | 44.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 35c | 41.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x935e…9132backed Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0aa…7a60backed Under | 38c | 34.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Under | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…81b5backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Under | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 34c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 64c | 28.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 1.5this page
- Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 0.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 2.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 3.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 4.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 5.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: Racing Club O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: Racing Club O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata (-1.5)Racing Club won
- Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata won
- Spread: Racing Club (-2.5)Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.