Other European Leagues · resolved market
Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95b34b5bfbcb030077abd3f87fb73eace15690453053a0c9529c841c9ae72056
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 2c | 42,008$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.54 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 5c | 20,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -7.1wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 56c | 13,259$7,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,885.36 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 45c | 4,649$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.63 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…18f1backed Over | 51c | 3,952$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 3,828$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.62 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 41c | 1,522$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.05 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked Under | 50c | 949.5$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.75 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 55c | 813.96$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.22 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed Under | 44c | 772.29$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.81 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 73c | 619.07$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.72 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…21b9backed Under | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 63c | 574.71$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.98 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 44c | 568$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.92 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 44c | 568$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.92 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 44c | 568$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.92 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe12…728fbacked Over | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 535.62$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.31 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 72c | 440.37$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.3 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 56c | 350$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.58 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 70c | 279.57$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.57 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b81…b60ebacked Over | 56c | 271.43$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 44c | 266.01$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.04 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 45c | 214$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.37 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Over | 54c | 186.96$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 55c | 178.18$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.18 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 44c | 165$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 26c | 165$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 56c | 153.57$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.57 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 45c | 136.91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -8.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc54…26edbacked Under | 45c | 129.81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Under | 47c | 101.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 44c | 98.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc59c…6b58backed Over | 56c | 65.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 43c | 50.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 45c | 44.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 45c | 44.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 66c | 28.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 75c | 27.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…93f6backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Tromsø IL (-1.5)Tromsø IL won
- Spread: Tromsø IL (-2.5)Tromsø IL won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 3.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 5.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: Tromsø IL 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: Vålerenga Fotball O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.