Other European Leagues · resolved market
Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf2a4e0436b79dbfc8f60d5f2afcaccb49dad014e075b3505ef06b4bbcde8797
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 49c | 3,500$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 3,352$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.47 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked No | 49c | 2,927$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.59 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55f0…4e2cbacked Yes | 51c | 2,870$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 50c | 2,102$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.23 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 49c | 500$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 56c | 406.42$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.59 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 44c | 293.69$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.47 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b99…4b3abacked Yes | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Yes | 48c | 162.48$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 43c | 146$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.22 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e47…7728backed Yes | 59c | 144.07$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…7633backed Yes | 39c | 123.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 57c | 123$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.11 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 43c | 123$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.11 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 107.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 51c | 101$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…bbdabacked Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Yes | 51c | 56.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 52c | 35.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Yes | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…7a42backed Yes | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 58c | 21.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b53…4722backed Yes | 56c | 20.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa738…a2fcbacked Yes | 56c | 17.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 58cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Tromsø IL (-1.5)Tromsø IL won
- Spread: Tromsø IL (-2.5)Tromsø IL won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 3.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 5.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: Tromsø IL 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: Vålerenga Fotball O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.