Other European Leagues · resolved market
Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb96d123a4c3d30bdb596363185e38ba2c18d9a0a14ab74150ffc5be1294da927
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 51c | 29,355$15,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,103.48 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 52c | 5,795$3,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,762.2 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 4,399$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.27 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 3,143$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.97 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 46c | 3,054$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.52 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 76c | 1,483$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.92 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 1,070$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.17 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…6039backed Over | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 73c | 825.46$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.27 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 39c | 629$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.44 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 41c | 602.55$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.68 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 63c | 483.81$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Under | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…7633backed Over | 55c | 326.18$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.78 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 69c | 321.81$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.81 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 62c | 320.49$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.79 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 63c | 291.4$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.82 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -7.1wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 35c | 291.4$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.41 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 33c | 269.21$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.37 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 44c | 264.2$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.62 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 61c | 221$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.54 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 23c | 217.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 39c | 216$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 45c | 156.77$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.04 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…674cbacked Over | 32c | 106.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed Over | 71c | 91.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 46c | 50.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +8.1wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Over | 59c | 49.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…4bedbacked Over | 44c | 44.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 67c | 42.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 33c | 42.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c7…48c0backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 68c | 35.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaae0…3616backed Over | 49c | 31.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over | 72c | 30.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 61c | 26.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Over | 76c | 22.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb138…419bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 66c | 17.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8780…4e7dbacked Over | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Tromsø IL (-1.5)Tromsø IL won
- Spread: Tromsø IL (-2.5)Tromsø IL won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 5.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: Tromsø IL 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: Vålerenga Fotball O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.