Other European Leagues · resolved market
Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fc9b11187834c6027109f5e92f5f3e68affc28170af22e90c6bf069f83f4de1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 67c | 13,171$8,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,289.45 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 58c | 4,961$2,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.48 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 36c | 3,795$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.82 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 39c | 2,790$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.69 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 2,262$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.01 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d37…f790backed Over | 47c | 2,075$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 2c | 2,031$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over | 36c | 1,083$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.73 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…e929backed Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d9…708dbacked Over | 50c | 727.56$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.78 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 68c | 569.49$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.09 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked Under | 50c | 487.59$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.79 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 20c | 477.33$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 20c | 399.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 33c | 354$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.19 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2f…ef88backed Over | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 28cpaid | +204.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 63c | 140.81$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…7633backed Over | 45c | 138.4$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54da…1facbacked Over | 39c | 128.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 28c | 105.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1556…b722backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 72c | 98.4$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…2715backed Over | 39c | 97.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Over | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…645fbacked Over | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…d876backed Under | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Over | 33c | 38.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5df…da1fbacked Under | 67c | 32.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…b1a1backed Over | 50c | 29.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked Under | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Tromsø IL (-1.5)Tromsø IL won
- Spread: Tromsø IL (-2.5)Tromsø IL won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 3.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 5.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: Tromsø IL 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: Vålerenga Fotball O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.