Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-08-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf0d948381d7d79a5525b9a0e6ba3b582d3450ae59b6d17ca108f73cab7e4041
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c78…77f1backed No | 36c | 70,524$25,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,388.69 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 64c | 52,916$33,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,012.01 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e3…fbb2backed No | 36c | 10,000$3,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,575.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 56c | 8,745$4,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,819.46 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 65c | 7,485$4,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.64 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7618…24c6backed Yes | 56c | 6,384$3,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,817.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 40c | 5,681$2,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,293.24 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Yes | 65c | 2,320$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.71 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed No | 18c | 2,248$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.86 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 36c | 2,041$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.43 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb751…8d99backed No | 35c | 1,994$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 64c | 1,868$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.48 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 63c | 1,416$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.94 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Yes | 60c | 1,374$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.82 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 64c | 1,221$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.33 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 51c | 1,196$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.91 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 1,149$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.42 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked No | 37c | 1,108$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed Yes | 66c | 1,061$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 40c | 905.21$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.86 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 64c | 802.65$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.95 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…ef38backed Yes | 65c | 784.62$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Yes | 63c | 770.21$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.03 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed No | 46c | 681.18$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.9 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 64c | 626.96$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.08 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Yes | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 59c | 523.44$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.17 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Yes | 66c | 515.15$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Yes | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 35c | 461.67$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.16 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed No | 23c | 437.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 12c | 408.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…30bcbacked Yes | 63c | 395.59$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Yes | 64c | 390.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.62 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3482…fa0ebacked Yes | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 36c | 292.71$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.33 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 37c | 258.8$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.67 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked No | 49c | 257.25$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.05 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Yes | 57c | 250$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 36c | 231.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.52 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f36…8645backed No | 37c | 203.11$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 50c | 200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 63c | 192.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 64c | 182.77$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1538…8676backed No | 37c | 175.27$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 77c | 174.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 35c | 162.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 169 | 29%49 W · 120 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 63c | 158.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.81 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…1eebbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked No | 50c | 155.02$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.51 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 50c | 147.09$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.94 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 36c | 129.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed No | 37c | 127.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 52c | 125.06$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 48c | 124$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.61 | 181 | 61.9%112 W · 69 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 32c | 121.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab0…ba53backed Yes | 64c | 112.94$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…dfcbbacked No | 38c | 108.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 63c | 105$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…6fb2backed Yes | 64c | 103.13$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…eeabbacked Yes | 65c | 102.88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Yes | 64c | 102.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 65c | 95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 48c | 90.65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…c50bbacked No | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 57cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 50c | 84.8$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed No | 38c | 79.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Yes | 64c | 66.12$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 71c | 65.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 46c | 62.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked No | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Yes | 63c | 50.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 60c | 48.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa68c…f805backed Yes | 61c | 47.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…a4f2backed Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked No | 39c | 45.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…e05ebacked Yes | 64c | 42.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 57c | 42.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…095bbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7fcdbacked Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -49%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 43c | 37.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Yes | 66c | 37.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed No | 36c | 37.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 37c | 36.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd515…2c54backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-08-21?this page
- Will FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba end in a draw?No won
- Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba win on 2026-08-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.