La Liga · resolved market
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4c6f319a09b1dc9220e4c5af8d5564c67cddbe241568027cdfedcf9d0874d43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 15,698$12,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,491.01 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 69c | 14,562$9,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,583.04 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 30c | 10,398$3,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,107.24 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 76c | 9,322$7,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.83 | 440 | 39.3%173 W · 267 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 26c | 8,856$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,291.78 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 14c | 5,902$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.34 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…4ac2backed Over | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 1,623$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.77 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked Over | 42c | 1,450$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 24c | 1,380$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.2 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Under | 60c | 1,150$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 29c | 1,148$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.03 | 232 | 32.8%76 W · 156 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 77c | 999.99$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 118 | 22.9%27 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 24c | 982.27$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.6 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 21c | 765.86$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.95 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…5d0cbacked Under | 78c | 720.51$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.51 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over | 3c | 510.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 79c | 501.11$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.56 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 79c | 498.65$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.33 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 20c | 464.25$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.97 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Under | 79c | 379.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 22c | 273.81$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.94 | 145 | 25.5%37 W · 108 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 10c | 192.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1057…1636backed Over | 30c | 159.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26da…3b4cbacked Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 23c | 132$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b34…a646backed Under | 72c | 130.13$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 24c | 127.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 16c | 119.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 72c | 106.74$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -10.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e8…6d91backed Over | 45c | 102.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc9…1ca3backed Under | 71c | 61.18$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 69c | 58.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 30c | 57.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf897…7f01backed Under | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ed…a4f5backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbe…0801backed Under | 68c | 49.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 79c | 48.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 41c | 46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -8.5wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 59c | 46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…b5e5backed Under | 79c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Over | 46c | 43.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e8…1c01backed Under | 77c | 39.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 32c | 34.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2413…2442backed Under | 69c | 29.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 77c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Under | 69c | 25.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 204 | 41.7%85 W · 119 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d2…d2dcbacked Over | 45c | 23.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 67c | 22.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 30 | 86.7%26 W · 4 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4c…612bbacked Under | 64c | 22.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 76c | 20.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf458…f266backed Under | 80c | 20.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 71c | 19.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77cd…c3cdbacked Under | 78c | 14.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 76c | 14.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5this page
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: Levante UD O/U 0.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: Levante UD O/U 1.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 0.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 5.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona O/U 0.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
- Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.