La Liga · resolved market
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d9a1268492bfaed98e6bce670df39809e4b37e4a2ba72a4a0df958d07d8739f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 71c | 750.22$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.41 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 46c | 728.74$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.22 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Over | 29c | 682.76$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.76 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 71c | 607.17$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.09 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 61c | 532.12$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.9 | 218 | 31.7%69 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Under | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 30c | 463.36$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.35 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 270.08$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.91 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 205.69$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.06 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1057…1636backed Over | 30c | 183.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35cf…6fabbacked Over | 30c | 136.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.64 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 28c | 131.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.15 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Over | 29c | 126.59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 62c | 120.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 223 | 50.2%112 W · 111 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…23e5backed Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 29c | 80$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 52c | 68.28$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 272 | 57.7%157 W · 115 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Under | 72c | 65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 71c | 61.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9805…a997backed Under | 71c | 30.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 72c | 20.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1,497 | 38.6%578 W · 919 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: Levante UD O/U 0.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: Levante UD O/U 1.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 0.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 5.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona O/U 0.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
- Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.