La Liga · resolved market
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0db5417ba6c9e5f0ff7d8805fc22b74ece485b3f4a6625eca22ca9348f80072d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 19c | 68,607$13,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,133.09 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 78c | 15,810$12,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,425.62 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 75c | 11,401$8,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,846.41 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba2…1650backed Under | 13c | 5,385$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 69c | 2,476$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.56 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed Under | 31c | 2,444$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.67 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Over | 70c | 2,236$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.84 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 76c | 1,032$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.68 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 72c | 699.74$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.77 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9805…a997backed Under | 31c | 488.87$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Over | 70c | 483.79$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.14 | 118 | 22.9%27 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 71c | 427.92$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.1 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 29c | 275.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.15 | 145 | 25.5%37 W · 108 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 23c | 274$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 75c | 237.61$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.19 | 232 | 32.8%76 W · 156 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 70c | 234.2$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.26 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 18c | 189.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 18c | 188.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 79c | 176.42$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 29c | 152.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b7…665abacked Over | 71c | 150.7$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Over | 71c | 146$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 70c | 142.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 30c | 125.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 70c | 121.7$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 75c | 107.83$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Over | 72c | 97.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 77c | 88.37$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…5d0cbacked Under | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe87f…f1e6backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 21c | 67.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…0fd1backed Over | 70c | 66.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 17 | 94.1%16 W · 1 L | +6.5wins | +0.38per pick | 56cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 19c | 62.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 71c | 61.68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 29c | 59.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 30c | 54.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 29c | 54.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 70c | 45.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 175 | 62.9%110 W · 65 L | +32.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 69c | 43.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 30c | 36.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Over | 72c | 33.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 70c | 26.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Over | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 74c | 20.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5this page
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: Levante UD O/U 0.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: Levante UD O/U 1.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 0.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 5.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona O/U 0.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
- Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.